Background
Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with incident colorectal cancer (CRC) but not consistently with CRC survival. Whether weight gain or loss is associated with CRC survival is largely unknown.
Methods
We identified 2,781 patients from Kaiser Permanente Northern California diagnosed with stages I-III CRC between 2006-2011 with weight and height measurements within 3 months of diagnosis and ~18 months post diagnosis. We evaluated associations between weight change and CRC-specific and overall mortality, adjusted for sociodemographics, disease severity, and treatment.
Results
Following completion of treatment and recovery from stage I-III CRC, loss of at least 10% of baseline weight was associated with significantly worse CRC-specific mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 3.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.33-4.39; P trend <0.0001) and overall mortality (HR 3.27; 95% CI, 2.56-4.18; P trend <0.0001). For every 5% loss of baseline weight, there was a 41% increased risk of CRC-specific mortality (95% CI, 29%-56%). Weight gain was not significantly associated with CRC-specific mortality (P trend=0.54) or overall mortality (P trend=0.27). The associations were largely unchanged after restricting analyses to exclude patients who died within 6 months and 12 months of the second weight measurement. No significant interactions were demonstrated for weight loss or gain by gender, stage, primary tumor location, or baseline BMI.
Conclusions
Weight loss after diagnosis was associated with worse CRC-specific mortality and overall mortality. Reverse causation does not appear to explain our findings.
Impact
Understanding mechanistic underpinnings for the association of weight to worse mortality is important to improving patient outcomes.