Nature futures for the urban century: Integrating multiple values into urban management

Mansur, Andressa V.; McDonald, Robert I.; Güneralp, Burak; Kim, Hye-Jin; Oliveira, José A. Puppim de; Callaghan, Corey T.; Hamel, Perrine; Kuiper, Jan J.; Wolff, Manuel; Liebelt, Veronika; Martins, Inês S.; Elmqvist, Thomas; Pereira, Henrique M.

doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2022.01.013

Cited by 40 publications

(31 citation statements)

References 79 publications

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“…However, the use of ecosystem services, if based on a monetary valuation approach, can be at odds with participatory valuation approaches which tend to emphasise a plurality of values, many of which are incommensurate with economic models. The IPBES framework provided the only direct acknowledgement of the importance of taking account of relational and cultural value in an assessment of human well-being and, as such, provides a promising starting point for navigating polarised stances related to nature valuation (see Mansur et al 2022 and section “ Opportunities for further integration and effective implementation of the principles for leveraging GI as a public health intervention ”).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating knowledge on green infrastructure, health and well-being in ageing populations: Principles for research and practice

Dennis

Barker

Anderson

et al. 2022

Ambio

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Ageing and urbanisation pose significant challenges for public health and urban planning. Ageing populations are at particular risk from hazards arising from urbanisation processes, some of which are in turn exacerbated by climate change. One approach for mitigating the negative effects of urbanisation on ageing populations is the leveraging of the beneficial effects of urban green infrastructure as a public health intervention in the planning process. We assessed the potential of available theoretical frameworks to provide the context for such leverage. This involved active engagement with academics and practitioners specialising in ageing, green infrastructure and health and well-being through a knowledge-brokering approach. We concluded that an integrated and comprehensive framework on the socio-cultural-ecological determinants of health is lacking. To address this, we present a set of principles for overcoming challenges to knowledge integration when working at the intersection of green infrastructure, ageing, health and well-being. Our findings—and the co-production process used to generate them—have wider significance for trans-disciplinary research into the benefits of the natural environment to human health and well-being as well as other complex and interconnected topics associated with global grand challenges.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating knowledge on green infrastructure, health and well-being in ageing populations: Principles for research and practice

Dennis

Barker

Anderson

et al. 2022

Ambio

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“…Frameworks have been developed and applied to address climate change from a variety of perspectives from urban and city planning (Solecki et al, 2015), including those with a focus on nature-based solutions (Albert et al, 2021;Mansur et al, 2022), to regional planning (Yang and Cui, 2019) to a variety of sectors such as public health (Bikomeye et al, 2021). Such framework studies vary in the methods, but all include some means of expert assessment and review of key literature or evidence before constructing a framework, typology or set of best practices.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Positive visioning is not limited to urban social-ecological systems. The biodiversity community is also actively engaging with stakeholders to create scenarios and positive visions as they relate to nature-based solutions and sustainable development goals (Albert et al, 2021;Mansur et al, 2022). For example, the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has developed a program of work around these principles (https://ipbes.net/scenarios-models).…”

Section: Engage With Stakeholders Experts and Community Membersmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, while cities can exacerbate biodiversity loss (McKinney 2006), they also provide an opportunity to address the biodiversity challenge (Ives et al, 2016;Planchuelo et al, 2019;Adem Esmail et al, 2022;Frantzeskaki and McPhearson, 2022) and conservation through future projections and scenario planning (IPBES, 2019). Applying this framework, scenarios and projections could be developed to address nature-based solutions (Albert et al, 2021;Mansur et al, 2022) and the impacts of different urban futures associated with the SSP on conservation outcomes (e.g., Sanderson et al, 2019).…”

Section: Figurementioning

confidence: 99%

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Frameworks to envision equitable urban futures in a changing climate: A multi-level, multidisciplinary case study of New York City

Balk

Daniela²,

Jiang³

et al. 2022

Front. Built Environ.

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Cities are at the forefront of climate change action and planning for futures that are concomitantly more resilient and equitable, making local goals imperative for global sustainability. Under the multiple challenges of changing climatic, ecological and socio-economic conditions, cities need the means to meet these goals. We know cities are and will continue to be points of concentrated and diverse populations, socioeconomic vulnerability, amplified exposure, transformed ecosystems and are responsible for the bulk of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, much is also unknown and intrinsically uncertain about urban futures: there is a range of potential plausible futures which have differing implications for both potential mitigation and adaptation actions. To better assess these plausible futures, the “global change” research community developed a framework including scenarios that are applicable for global and regional policy, entitled the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and scenarios exploring future emissions that will drive climate change, entitled Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). Importantly, this global scale framework does not include specific city-level perspectives or data at the spatial scales necessary to address questions of local relevance. While the SSPs address many of the key population and socioeconomic drivers of climate change, they do not address important concerns that are particularly relevant to cities, such as racial justice, ecosystem change or migration. Nevertheless, city-level impacts will evolve, in part, as a function of the global scale change characterized by the SSPs, and in part based on demographic and social processes already underway. As such, applying a modification of this framework to cities has the potential to help limit local climate impacts, and create a more resilient, equitable city. To address these needs and respond to city and regional stakeholders, we propose a framework for science-based narratives and quantitative projections for cities and metropolitan areas, such as Greater New York City. In this paper, we review a wide-range of existing approaches to generate estimates of future populations and identify their vulnerabilities to climate-change hazards, ranging from subnational population projections or the spatially-explicit allocation of populations linked to SSPs for the US and selected cities, city-specific population forecasting without climate considerations, and participatory approaches to future scenario development and fine-scale, within-city land use change models. By showcasing the strengths and limitations of various approaches and modeling efforts, their spatial and temporal scales, and thematic breadth, we propose a novel framework that leverages state-of-the art quantitative approaches and couples it with stakeholder engagement that can help cities plan equitably under uncertainty.

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“…Recently the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and models developed the Nature Ffutures framework (NFF) to develop scenarios exploring multiple perspectives on the relationship between people and nature (Rosa et al 2017, Pereira et al 2020). This framework is particularly useful to assess different visions on nature conservation and restoration, as it explores use‐values (including direct and indirect use), non‐use values (including intrinsice values) and relational values (Kim et al 2021, Mansur et al 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

et al. 2022

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Large-scale ecological restoration is crucial for effective biodiversity conservation and combating climate change. However, perspectives on the goals and values of restoration are highly diverse, as are the different approaches to restoration e.g. ranging from the restoration of cultural ecosystems to rewilding. We assess how the future of nature is envisioned in participatory scenarios, focusing on which elements of rewilding and nature contributions to people have been considered in scenario narratives across Europe. We used the Nature Futures Framework archetypes as a template to synthesize pluralistic perspectives of nature. We found that different values of nature are often represented as counteracting elements and fail to integrate the plural views of nature. Nature as Culture was the main archetype found in the scenarios, usually associated with positive impacts on the non-material benefits to people. Intrinsic values of nature (i.e., Nature for Nature) were associated with positive impacts on regulating benefits and negative impacts on material benefits, being the only archetype of future associated with positive impacts on all three components of rewilding. Nature for Society was associated with moderate positive impacts on material and regulatory nature contributions to people. Business as usual futures were associated with negative impacts on regulating and non-material benefits to people and on all three components of rewilding. Our results highlight two major gaps in the scenarios that should be addressed in participatory restoration planning and models. Firstly, there is a paucity of spatially explicit approaches, with most studies failing to transform the results of participatory scenario planning into model projections. Secondly, we found scenarios that explored co-benefits between multiple nature perspectives were overall missing from the literature. Novel scenario narratives and approaches that explore synergies among different nature values are needed to design future large-scale restoration where biodiversity recovery and human well-being are intrinsically linked and fostered.

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Nature futures for the urban century: Integrating multiple values into urban management

Cited by 40 publications

References 79 publications

Integrating knowledge on green infrastructure, health and well-being in ageing populations: Principles for research and practice

Integrating knowledge on green infrastructure, health and well-being in ageing populations: Principles for research and practice

Frameworks to envision equitable urban futures in a changing climate: A multi-level, multidisciplinary case study of New York City

Participatory scenarios for restoring European landscapes show a plurality of nature values

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