“…Winter conditions show strong latitudinal variation, and as a result winter temperature and lower thermal tolerance limits are highly predictive of range distributions (Addo‐Bediako et al, ; J. L. Andersen et al, ; Kellermann et al, ). This thermal tolerance/range distribution relationship is mediated by the fitness consequences of cold exposure, which include reduced fecundity (Marshall & Sinclair, ; Rinehart, Yocum, & Denlinger, ), developmental defects (Rukke, Hage, & Aak, ), and risk of mortality from cold injury (Colinet, Lee, & Hoffmann, ; MacMillan & Sinclair, ; Renault, ; Teets & Denlinger, ). Thus, modeling an insect's current and future geographic range requires accurate measures of its thermal tolerance.…”