Modelling Acacia saligna invasion in a large Mediterranean island using PAB factors: A tool for implementing the European legislation on invasive species

Lozano, Vanessa; Marzialetti, Flavio; Carranza, María Laura; Chapman, Daniel S.; Branquart, Étienne; Dološ, Klara; Große‐Stoltenberg, André; Fiori, Michele; Capece, Paolo; Brundu, G.

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106516

Cited by 25 publications

(24 citation statements)

References 65 publications

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“…In both terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems, species distribution models (SDMs) can be effectively used to generate risk maps that predict the relative suitability of habitat, if the introduction occurs outside the native range (e.g., [23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30]). Introduction events across continents (primary pathway) or spread after a single introduction (secondary pathway) [31] may promote the capacity of the species to respond to selection in new environments [32,33].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…SDMs have generally been proven to reflect the correct response to climate change and other environmental gradients [40]. Species distributions are affected by many abiotic and biotic interactions [30,41,42], including anthropogenic factors [38]. However, climate is often regarded as a critical determinant of plant species ranges and ranges are correlated more strongly with climate than with any other factor especially on broad spatial scales [41,43].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Distribution of Five Aquatic Plants Native to South America and Invasive Elsewhere under Current Climate

Lozano

2021

Ecologies

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Biological invasions and climate pose two of the most important challenges facing global biodiversity. Certainly, climate change may intensify the impacts of invasion by allowing invasive plants to increase in abundance and further expand their ranges. For example, most aquatic alien plants in temperate climate are of tropical and subtropical origins and the northern limits of their ranges are generally determined by minimum winter temperatures, and they will probably expand their distributions northwards if climate warms. The distribution of five invasive aquatic plants in freshwater systems across continents were investigated. Their global distributions in the current climate were modeled using a recently developed ensemble species distribution model approach, specifically designed to account for dispersal constraints on the distributions of range-expanding species. It was found that the species appear capable of substantial range expansion, and that low winter temperature is the strongest factor limiting their invasion. These findings can be used to identify areas at risk of recently introduction of neophytes, and develop future monitoring programs for aquatic ecosystems, prioritizing control efforts, which enables the effective use of ecological niche models to forecast aquatic invasion in other geographic regions.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Distribution of Five Aquatic Plants Native to South America and Invasive Elsewhere under Current Climate

Lozano

2021

Ecologies

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“…Because of the complexity of biological invasion, better understanding of the underlying factors and their management is challenging. As tools for obtaining reliable and repeatable information for biological analyses as well as nature conservation and management of the invaders, invasive species distribution models (iSDMs) are considered useful (Lozano et al, 2020;Zurell et al, 2020). Modelling species' environmental requirements and mapping their distributions through space and time help to identify the main introduction pathways and secondary spread and the areas and landuse types that are more prone to invasion.…”

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confidence: 99%

“…Modelling species' environmental requirements and mapping their distributions through space and time help to identify the main introduction pathways and secondary spread and the areas and landuse types that are more prone to invasion. These various threads could be woven into a strategy of prevention and elimination of invasive plant species on a regional scale (Lozano et al, 2020). The iSDMs are especially useful in the face of accelerating global changes and data deficiencies, as well as limited research funding (Yates et al, 2018).…”

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confidence: 99%

“…The iSDMs are especially useful in the face of accelerating global changes and data deficiencies, as well as limited research funding (Yates et al, 2018). The PAB approach, despite its obvious advantages for selection of explanatory variables and model results interpretation, has rarely been used within an invasive species distribution modelling framework (but see Bazzichetto et al, 2018;Czarniecka-Wiera et al, 2020;Lozano et al, 2020).…”

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Drivers of Solidago species invasion in Central Europe---Case study in the landscape of the Carpathian Mountains and their foreground

Perera

Szymura

Zając

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Aim: The invasion process is a complex, context-dependent phenomenon; nevertheless, it can be described using the PAB framework. This framework encompasses the joint effect of propagule pressure (P), abiotic characteristics of the environment (A), and biotic characteristics of both the invader and recipient vegetation (B). We analyzed the effectiveness of proxies of PAB factors to explain the spatial pattern of Solidago canadensis and S. gigantea invasion using invasive species distribution models. Location: Carpathian Mountains and their foreground, Central Europe. Methods: The data on species presence or absence were from an atlas of neophyte distribution based on a 2 × 2 km grid, covering approximately 31,200 km2 (7752 grid cells). Proxies of PAB factors, along with data on historical distribution of invaders were used as explanatory variables in Boosted Regression Trees models to explain the distribution of invasive Solidago. The areas with potentially lower sampling effort were excluded from analysis based on a target species approach. Results: Proxies of the PAB factors helped to explain the distribution of both S. canadensis and S. gigantea. Distributions of both species were limited climatically because a mountain climate is not conducive to their growth; however, the S. canadensis distribution pattern was correlated with proxies of human pressure, whereas S. gigantea distribution was connected with environmental characteristics. The varied responses of species with regard to distance from their historical distribution sites indicated differences in their invasion drivers. Main conclusions: Proxies of PAB are helpful in the choice of explanatory variables as well as the ecological interpretation of species distribution models. The results underline that human activity can cause variation in the invasion of ecologically similar species.

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Drivers of Solidago species invasion in Central Europe—Case study in the landscape of the Carpathian Mountains and their foreground

Perera

Szymura

Zając

et al. 2021

Ecology and Evolution

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Aim The invasion process is a complex, context‐dependent phenomenon; nevertheless, it can be described using the PAB framework. This framework encompasses the joint effect of propagule pressure (P), abiotic characteristics of the environment (A), and biotic characteristics of both the invader and recipient vegetation (B). We analyzed the effectiveness of proxies of PAB factors to explain the spatial pattern of Solidago canadensis and S. gigantea invasion using invasive species distribution models. Location Carpathian Mountains and their foreground, Central Europe. Methods The data on species presence or absence were from an atlas of neophyte distribution based on a 2 × 2 km grid, covering approximately 31,200 km2 (7,752 grid cells). Proxies of PAB factors, along with data on historical distribution of invaders, were used as explanatory variables in Boosted Regression Trees models to explain the distribution of invasive Solidago. The areas with potentially lower sampling effort were excluded from analysis based on a target species approach. Results Proxies of the PAB factors helped to explain the distribution of both S. canadensis and S. gigantea. Distributions of both species were limited climatically because a mountain climate is not conducive to their growth; however, the S. canadensis distribution pattern was correlated with proxies of human pressure, whereas S. gigantea distribution was connected with environmental characteristics. The varied responses of species with regard to distance from their historical distribution sites indicated differences in their invasion drivers. Main conclusions Proxies of PAB are helpful in the choice of explanatory variables as well as the ecological interpretation of species distribution models. The results underline that human activity can cause variation in the invasion of ecologically similar species.

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Modelling Acacia saligna invasion in a large Mediterranean island using PAB factors: A tool for implementing the European legislation on invasive species

Cited by 25 publications

References 65 publications

Distribution of Five Aquatic Plants Native to South America and Invasive Elsewhere under Current Climate

Distribution of Five Aquatic Plants Native to South America and Invasive Elsewhere under Current Climate

Drivers of Solidago species invasion in Central Europe---Case study in the landscape of the Carpathian Mountains and their foreground

Drivers of Solidago species invasion in Central Europe—Case study in the landscape of the Carpathian Mountains and their foreground

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