2004
DOI: 10.1093/gerona/59.6.m590
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Abstract: The main theories on population aging based on recent data on human longevity, life expectancy, morbidity changes, disability trends, and mortality decrease are presented and discussed within their own geographic, cultural, socioeconomic, and medical contexts. The complex interactions between all these components do not facilitate trend forecasting of aging population (healthy aging versus disability pandemic). In the context of population aging, four elements were introduced with their implications: 1) an inc… Show more

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Cited by 193 publications
(157 citation statements)
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“…Sweden has one of the world's oldest populations. Results from this study could reflect the emergence of a very frail old population, as proposed by Robine and Michel (2004). Results could also reflect local conditions, as suggested by Deeg (2004), i.e., a cumulative consequence of the supportive environment and care provided by the Swedish welfare state since the 1960s.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 68%
“…Sweden has one of the world's oldest populations. Results from this study could reflect the emergence of a very frail old population, as proposed by Robine and Michel (2004). Results could also reflect local conditions, as suggested by Deeg (2004), i.e., a cumulative consequence of the supportive environment and care provided by the Swedish welfare state since the 1960s.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 68%
“…Our findings provide some support to the hypothesis of Robine and Michel, 32 who predicted that economically developed countries would experience a pattern of initial expansion of morbidity due to increased survival rates with disabling conditions, followed by compression as improvements were made in controlling chronic diseases and improving health behaviours in new cohorts of older people. It is possible that Canada has progressed from the initial expansion of morbidity phase in the 1980s and 1990s into a period of stasis due to improvements in chronic disease prevention and health promotion.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…These three theories have contributed to the development of further research on health trends (Robine and Michel 2004) and are important for service planning, since the three imply quite different pressures on health systems and services.…”
Section: The Dynamics Of Health At Old Agesmentioning
confidence: 99%