Long-term reductions in costs of controlling regional air pollution in Europe due to climate policy

Harmelen, Toon van; Bakker, Joost M.; Vries, Bert de; Vuuren, Detlef van; Elzen, Michel den; Mayerhofer, Petra

doi:10.1016/s1462-9011(02)00043-6

Cited by 36 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…Atmospheric N pollution and climate change impacts on ecosystems are traditionally considered separately, whereas they have a combined effect (Van Harmelen et al, 2002;Swart, 2004;Bytnerowicz et al, 2007;Serengil et al, 2011). To model and predict forest ecosystem trends effectively over time, climate change and atmospheric N deposition must both be taken into account.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Combined effect of atmospheric nitrogen deposition and climate change on temperate forest soil biogeochemistry: A modeling approach

Gaudio

Belyazid²,

Gendre

et al. 2015

Ecological Modelling

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A B S T R A C TAtmospheric N deposition is known to severely impact forest ecosystem functioning by influencing soil biogeochemistry and nutrient balance, and consequently tree growth and overall forest health and biodiversity. Moreover, because climate greatly influences soil processes, climate change and atmospheric N deposition must both be taken into account when analysing the evolution of forest ecosystem status over time. Dynamic biogeochemical models have been developed to test different climate and atmospheric N deposition scenarios and their potential interactions in the long term. In this study, the ForSAFE model was used to predict the combined effect of atmospheric N deposition and climate change on two temperate forest ecosystems in France dominated by oak and spruce, and more precisely on forest soil biogeochemistry, from today to 2100. After a calibration step and following a careful statistical validation process, two atmospheric N deposition scenarios were tested: the current legislation in Europe (CLE) and the maximum feasible reduction (MFR) scenarios. They were combined with three climate scenarios: current climate scenario, worst-case climate scenario (A2) and best-case climate scenario (B1). The changes in base saturation and inorganic N concentration in the soil solution were compared across all scenario combinations, with the aim of forecasting the state of acidification, eutrophication and forest ecosystem recovery up to the year 2100.Simulations highlighted that climate had a stronger impact on soil base saturation, whereas atmospheric deposition had a comparative effect or a higher effect than climate on N concentration in the soil solution. Although deposition remains the main factor determining the evolution of N concentration in soil solution, increased temperature had a significant effect. Results also highlighted the necessity of considering the joint effect of both climate and atmospheric N deposition on soil biogeochemistry.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Combined effect of atmospheric nitrogen deposition and climate change on temperate forest soil biogeochemistry: A modeling approach

Gaudio

Belyazid²,

Gendre

et al. 2015

Ecological Modelling

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“…Studies from overseas indicate that substantial ancillary economic and health benefits are often associated with mitigation of greenhouse gases. Methods and results of studies on health co-benefits from mitigation in the United States and Europe vary widely, but almost all studies find some degree of economic, environmental and/or health co-benefits related to greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation scenarios (see for instance Burtraw et al 2003, Van Harmelen et al 2002, Cifuentes et al 2001, West et al 2013. The quantification of impacts and potential benefits of action for Sydney and other cities in Australia should be the subject of future studies in this area.…”

Section: Priority Research Gapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change, air pollution and human health in Sydney, Australia: A review of the literature

Dean

Green

2018

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Sydney is Australia's largest city and is growing rapidly. Although Sydney's air quality is relatively good compared to the major cities in many industrialised countries, particulate matter (PM) and ozone (O 3 ) occasionally exceed the national health standards and are the cause of premature mortalities and hospital admissions. Numerous studies from overseas (e.g. North America and continental Europe) suggest that climate change may impact air quality to the detriment of human health. There is limited knowledge about how climate change may impact air quality in Sydney. This study reviews the available literature on the impacts of climate change on air quality related health impacts in Sydney to identify knowledge and research gaps. Where no studies are available for Sydney, it draws on relevant studies from other Australian cities and overseas. Our findings summarise what is known about how climate change may impact air quality in Sydney and where research gaps exist. This approach can facilitate research agendas, policies and planning strategies that mitigate public health impacts and tackle climate change and air pollution in a coordinated way.

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“…This complexity presents a challenge for a rigorous assessment of individual MIs as well as for the aggregation of MIs. A number of studies have looked at similar (policy) interactions, (van Harmelen et al [116], Amann et al [117], Bollen, Heers and van der Zwaan, [118], however, studies in the context of an integrative assessment of MIs typically do not consider these interactions.…”

Section: Interactions Among the Mis And Avoiding Double Countingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Measuring multiple impacts of low-carbon energy options in a green economy context

Ürge-Vorsatz¹,

Kelemen²,

Herrero

et al. 2016

Applied Energy

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Wuppertal Institut | 1 AbstractThe economic assessment of low-carbon energy options is the primary step towards the design of policy portfolios to foster the green energy economy. However, today these assessments often fall short of including important determinants of the overall cost-benefit balance of such options by not including indirect costs and benefits, even though these can be gamechanging. This is often due to the lack of adequate methodologies.The purpose of this paper is to provide a comprehensive account of the key methodological challenges to the assessment of the multiple impacts of energy options, and an initial menu of potential solutions to address these challenges.The paper first provides evidence for the importance of the multiple impacts of energy actions in the assessment of low-carbon options.The paper identifies a few key challenges to the evaluation of the co-impacts of low-carbon options and demonstrates that these are more complex for co-impacts than for the direct ones. Such challenges include several layers of additionality, high-context dependency, and accounting for distributional effects.The paper continues by identifying the key challenges to the aggregation of multiple impacts including the risks of overcounting while taking into account the multitude of interactions among the various co-impacts. The paper proposes an analytical framework that can help address these and frame a systematic assessment of the multiple impacts.

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Long-term reductions in costs of controlling regional air pollution in Europe due to climate policy

Cited by 36 publications

References 9 publications

Combined effect of atmospheric nitrogen deposition and climate change on temperate forest soil biogeochemistry: A modeling approach

Combined effect of atmospheric nitrogen deposition and climate change on temperate forest soil biogeochemistry: A modeling approach

Climate change, air pollution and human health in Sydney, Australia: A review of the literature

Measuring multiple impacts of low-carbon energy options in a green economy context

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