“…General circulation models thus project an average decrease in soil moisture of 15% in the next 50 years and a return period of extreme droughts 10-fold shorter than in the twentieth century in Mediterranean regions (Bates et al, 2008). Forest ecosystems in these Mediterranean areas, seasonally exposed to water stress, may be particularly vulnerable to even slight increases in water deficits, which can induce reductions in tree growth (Barbeta et al, 2013;Liu et al, 2015Liu et al, , 2018 and crown conditions (Carnicer et al, 2011;Galiano et al, 2012) and increases in tree mortality (Breshears et al, 2005;Allen et al, 2010;Peng et al, 2011;Williams et al, 2012). Precipitation anomalies have also been strongly correlated with the subsequent occurrence of hot extremes in most areas of the world (Mueller and Seneviratne, 2012), and an increased frequency of heat waves is expected in Mediterranean regions, coinciding with summer drought and higher evapotranspiration and thus a lower availability of soil water (Fischer and Schar, 2010).…”