Introduction to the special issue: Management Science in the Fight Against Covid-19

Heterogeneous epidemic modelling within an enclosed space and corresponding Bayesian estimation

“… Different Areas Lai CC. et al ( Morton et al, 2021 ) Our study Publish Date Jan. 2021 Epidemic model SEIR SEAIJ Inference Method Deterministic Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo Likelihood theory Approximate Bayesian method Population Monte Carlo Heterogeneities Identities Transmission schemes Mixed Structure Identities Transmission schemes Infection sources Outbreak stages Mixed Structures Transmission Schemes within-deck vs. between-deck transmission Protected vs. Nonprotected Close contact Inside vs. outside the room Infection sources Infectious patients Symptomatic patients Asymptomatic patients (covered presymptomatic) Outbreak stages Before isolation (Jan. 20th – Feb. 4th) Early period of daily symptom-reported (Feb.5- Feb. 10th) Before systemic test (Feb. 11th- Feb. 13th) Before the evacuation of passengers from USA (Feb. 14th- Feb. 16th) Before the duration of disembarkation (Feb. 17th – Feb. 19th) Before isolation After isolation Duration of disembarkation After duration of disembarkation Data period Jan. 20th – Feb. 19th …”

“…There are quite a few works on mathematical models to fit COVID-19 outbreak data on the cruise ship 'Diamond Princess' and a comparison is prepared. Table 7a , Table 7b , Table 7c , Table 7d , Table 7e , Table 7f shows the differences of our model with these six models (( Emery et al, 2020 ), ( Huang et al, 2021 ), ( Liu et al, 2020b ), ( Rocklöv et al, 2020a , 2020b ), ( Rocklöv et al, 2020a , 2020b ), ( Morton et al, 2021 )) in eleven areas.…”

“…Still, it is unclear about the timing and effectiveness of these measures. Also, the populations’ response, psychological tolerance, and willingness to follow these preventive measures can vary significantly depending on how severe the COVID-19 pandemic affected the area ( Morton et al, 2021 ). Therefore, the construction of a mathematical epidemic model can answer some critical questions that cannot be extrapolated from clinical and epidemiological studies.…”

Resilience: A Critical Appraisal of the State of Research for Business and Society

“…For each of those elements scientific literature emerged since the beginning of the pandemic and sometimes before. One stream of literature developed models for forecasting demand for hospitals and public health institutions in crisis and chaotic environments (Morton et al 2021). Another stream dealt with decisions such as bed allocation in health care organizations in situations with scarce resources emerging in times of crisis (Melman et al 2021).…”

Central European journal of operations research (CJOR) “operations research applied to health services (ORAHS) in Europe: general trends and ORAHS 2020 conference in Vienna, Austria”

“…The ORAHS group has been very active which is also represented by several special issues in international scientific journals related to the yearly meetings (e.g., Rauner and Vissers 2003, Davies and Bensley 2005, Brailsford and Harper 2007, Dexter 2009, Xie et al 2010, Aringhieri et al 2013Hans and Vliegen 2014, Çayırlı 2015, Mallor et al 2018 as well as special issues and review papers on general trends in applications of OR in the health care sector (e.g., Rauner et al 2005, Harper and Baker 2005, Brailsford and Harper 2008, Brailsford et al 2009, Rais and Viana 2010, Brailsford and Vissers 2011, Brailsford et al 2012, Weber et al 2014, Morton et al 2016, Royston 2016, Morton et al 2021. Furthermore, several books edited by group members appeared over the last 20 years (e.g., Brandeau et al 2004, Vissers and Beech 2005, Ozcan 2005, Zaric 2013, Brailsford et al 2014, Carter et al 2018, Kahraman and Topcu 2018, Masmoudi et al 2021.…”