Integrating regionalized Brazilian land use change datasets into the ecoinvent database: new data, premises and uncertainties have large effects in the results

Donke, A. C. G.; Novaes, Renan Milagres Lage; Pazianotto, R. A. A.; Moreno-Ruiz, Emilia; Reinhard, Jürgen; Picoli, J. F.; Folegatti-Matsuura, Marília Ieda da Silveira

doi:10.1007/s11367-020-01763-3

Cited by 16 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…In order to estimate the reference land-use mix, our algorithm reflected the trend over the past 20 years (1999)(2000)(2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014)(2015)(2016)(2017)(2018) of expansion/contraction of forest, grassland, annual cropland and perennial cropland in the particular country (or country-mix) from FAO data (FAOSTAT, 2021); see Brandão et al (2021a). The resulting values are consistent with the methodological guidance given in RED (European Union, 2009) and its amendment (European Union, 2015), PAS2050 European Commission (2010), Carré et al (2010), [BSI (British Standards Institute), 2011], Blonk (2014), Novaes et al (2017), ecoinvent (Moreno Ruiz et al, 2019Donke et al, 2020), as well as the guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (Buendia et al, 2019), and include carbon stock changes in mineral and organic soils due to changes in land management in addition to changes in land use. IPCC tier 1 values for carbon stocks in soil and vegetation, according to soil type, vegetation type, land use, and land management were applied, using the proportion of area of each soil/climate per country to produce a weighted average.…”

Section: Estimating How the Feed Food Export And Vegetable Oil Market...supporting

confidence: 66%

Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Brandão

2022

Front. Clim.

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Concerns over climate change have led to the promotion of biofuels for transport, particularly biodiesel from oilseed crops and ethanol from sugar and starch crops. However, additional concerns arose on whether the climate change mitigation potential of biofuels is negated by the associated direct land requirements (dLUC) for growing biofuel feedstocks, or by the indirect land requirements (iLUC) that compensate for the diversion of food/feed crops into biofuels, both cases leading to greenhouse gas emissions. We investigated data over the last 20-year period to estimate the magnitude of the effects ethanol production in the USA has had on land use domestically and abroad. The data analyzed suggests that, over the period, the use of corn for ethanol increased by 118 Mt per year, most of it coming from displacement of other uses of corn, mainly feed, which were compensated by increased feed production elsewhere. Results suggest a relatively low dLUC but a significant iLUC effect, mainly due to the compensation for the foregone feed production as a result of diverting corn into ethanol production. The resulting 18.0 Mt CO2-eq. associated with meeting the renewable-energy target of 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol more than negates the climate benefits from avoided use of gasoline, indicating that promoting corn ethanol for global climate change mitigation may be counter-productive as, despite decreasing domestic emissions, global emissions increase. We suggest that the policy be revised accordingly.

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Section: Estimating How the Feed Food Export And Vegetable Oil Market...supporting

confidence: 66%

Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Brandão

2022

Front. Clim.

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“…. "The resulting values are consistent with the methodological guidance given in RED (European Union, 2009) and its amendment (European Union, 2015), PAS2050 European Commission (2010), Carré et al (2010), [BSI, 2011], Blonk (2014), Novaes et al (2017), ecoinvent (Moreno Ruiz et al, 2019Donke et al, 2020). "…”

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confidence: 78%

Corrigendum: Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Brandão

2022

Front. Clim.

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In the published article, there was an error. Poor grammar/language construction and incomplete information.A correction has been made to Abstract. This sentence previously stated:". . . or by the indirect land requirements (iLUC) that compensate for the diversion of food/feed crops into biofuels, both cases leading to greenhouse gas emissions. We investigated data over the last 20-year period to estimate the magnitude of the effects ethanol production in the USA has had on land use domestically and abroad. The data analyzed suggests that, over the period, the use of corn for ethanol increased by 118 Mt per year, most of it coming from displacement of other uses of corn, mainly feed, which were compensated by increased feed production elsewhere. Results suggest a relatively low dLUC but a significant iLUC effect, mainly due to the compensation for the foregone feed production as a result of diverting corn into ethanol production. The resulting 18.0 Mt CO 2 -eq. associated with meeting the renewable-energy target of 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol more than negates the climate benefits from avoided use of gasoline, indicating that promoting corn ethanol for global climate change mitigation may be counter-productive as, despite decreasing domestic emissions, global emissions increase."Publisher's Note: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

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“…LUCs are modeled in the database can be found inNemecek et al (2014) andDonke et al (2020). Wheat, barley, oats and rice, lacking detailed regionalized references, were retrieved from the global market.…”

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confidence: 99%

Environmental impact assessment of beef cattle production in semi-intensive systems in Paraguay

Costantini

Vázquez‐Rowe

Manzardo

et al. 2021

Sustainable Production and Consumption

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Integrating regionalized Brazilian land use change datasets into the ecoinvent database: new data, premises and uncertainties have large effects in the results

Cited by 16 publications

References 15 publications

Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Corrigendum: Indirect Effects Negate Global Climate Change Mitigation Potential of Substituting Gasoline With Corn Ethanol as a Transportation Fuel in the USA

Environmental impact assessment of beef cattle production in semi-intensive systems in Paraguay

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