Incorporating Survey Perceptions of Public Safety and Security Variables in Crime Rate Analyses for the Visegrád Group (V4) Countries of Central Europe

Abstract

Public governance has evolved in terms of safety and security management, incorporating digital innovation and smart-analytics-based tools to visualize abundant data collections. Urban safety and security are vital social problems that have many branches to be solved, simplified, and improved. Currently, we can see that data-driven insights have often been incorporated into planning, forecasting, and fighting such challenges. The literature has extensively indicated several aspects of solving urban safety problems, i.e., social, technological, administrative, urban, and societal. We have a keen interest in the data analysis and smart analytics options that can be deployed to enhance the presentation, promotional analysis, planning, forecasting, and fighting of these problems. For this, we chose to focus on crime statistics and public surveys regarding victimization and perceptions of crime. As we found through a review, many studies have indicated the vitality of crime rates but not public perceptions in decision-making and planning regarding security. There is always a need for the integration of widespread data insights into unified analyses. This study aimed to answer (1) how effectively we can utilize the crime rates and statistics, and incorporate community perceptions and (2) how promising these two ways of seeing the same phenomena are. For the data analysis, we chose four neighboring countries in Central Europe. We selected CECs, i.e., Hungary, Poland, Czech Republic, and Slovakia, known collectively as the Visegrád Group or V4. The data resources were administrative police statistics and ESS (European Social Survey) statistical datasets. The choice of this region helped us reduce variability in regional dynamics, regime changes, and social control practices.

Predictive Choropleth Maps Using ARIMA Time Series Forecasting for Crime Rates in Visegrád Group Countries

“…The police and community dynamics play a vital role in all steps of criminal procedures and prosecution. Moreover, there are subjective factors when dealing with crimes that include public perception, police effectiveness, fear among the public, law and order, public awareness, and more [8].…”

“…The authors of [23,25] emphasized advancement-driven monitoring, control, and strategic resource allocation planning based on scenario change analysis [26]. This study proposes that such findings be added to industrial and governmental system modifications and rollouts as part of a security policy for crime prevention, thereby aiding problem solving in regions of concern [1,8,27,28]. In any country, these safety and security reforms and data insights are important, as is addressing other socioeconomic problems.…”

Does the Size of the Business Still Matter, or Is Profitability under New Management, by Order of the COVID-19?

“…Visegrad Four was chosen because it is the largest grouping of Central European countries. A cultural and political alliance of Hungary, Poland, Czech Republic, and Slovakia is known collectively as the Visegrad Group, or V4 (Ghani et al 2022). This study was also influenced by the research findings of Hassan (2022), who solved the issue of profitability using a variety of mathematical and statistical techniques.…”