BackgroundBrain atrophy occurs in both normal ageing and in multiple sclerosis (MS), but it occurs at a faster rate in MS, where it is the major driver of disability progression. Here, we employed a neuroimaging biomarker of structural brain ageing to explore how MS influences the brain ageing process.
MethodsIn a longitudinal, multi-centre sample of 3,565 MRI scans in 1,204 MS/clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) patients and 150 healthy controls (HCs) (mean follow-up time: patients 3·41 years, HCs 1·97 years) we measured 'brain-predicted age' using T1-weighted MRI. Brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD) was calculated as the difference between the brain-predicted age and chronological age. Positive brain-PAD indicates a brain appears older than its chronological age. We compared brain-PAD between MS/CIS patients and HCs, and between disease subtypes. In patients, the relationship between brain-PAD and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) at study entry and over time was explored.
FindingsAdjusted for age, sex, intracranial volume, cohort and scanner effects MS/CIS patients had markedly older-appearing brains than HCs (mean brain-PAD 11·8 years [95% CI 9·1-14·5] versus -0·01 [-3·0-3·0], p<0·0001). All MS subtypes had greater brain-PAD scores than HCs, with the oldest-appearing brains in secondary-progressive MS (mean brain-PAD 18·0 years [15·4-20·5], p<0·05). At baseline, higher brain-PAD was associated with a higher EDSS, longer time since diagnosis and a younger age at diagnosis. Brain-PAD at study entry significantly predicted time-to-EDSS progression (hazard ratio 1·02 [1·01-1·03], p<0·0001): for every 5 years of additional brain-PAD, the risk of progression increased by 14·2%.Interpretation MS increases brain ageing across all MS subtypes. An older-appearing brain at baseline was associated with more rapid disability progression, suggesting 'brain-age' could be an individualised prognostic biomarker from a single, cross-sectional assessment.
Evidence before this studyWe searched Pubmed and Scopus with the terms "multiple sclerosis" and "brain ageing" or "brain age" and "neuroimaging" or "MRI" for studies published before 15 th March 2019. This searched return no studies of brain ageing in multiple sclerosis. We also searched the pre-print server for biology, bioRxiv, and found one manuscript deposited, though this study has yet to appear in a peer-reviewed journal. This study found a strong effect of multiple sclerosis on the apparent age of the brain, though was only cross-sectional, was from a single centre, did not consider disease subtypes and did not consider the relevance of clinical characteristics for brain ageing. Therefore, although there is strong prior evidence of the importance of brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis, there was no information on how the nature of this atrophy relates to brain ageing.
Added value of this studyHere we demonstrate for the first time that the progressive atrophy in multiple sclerosis patients results in an acceleration of age-related changes to brain structure....