2007
DOI: 10.1200/jco.2006.10.4323
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End Points for Colon Cancer Adjuvant Trials: Observations and Recommendations Based on Individual Patient Data From 20,898 Patients Enrolled Onto 18 Randomized Trials From the ACCENT Group

Abstract: DFS outcomes after 2- or 3-year median follow-up are excellent predictors of 5-year OS. DFS outcomes are appropriate for trials in which the majority of patients are stage III. DFS after 2- or 3-year median follow-up should be considered as the primary end point in future colon adjuvant trials.

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Cited by 217 publications
(149 citation statements)
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“…The correlation between treatment effects on PFS and OS in each trial was only moderate (trial-level decision coefficient R 2 adjusted for estimation errors was 0.61), which is the same strength of relationship seen in the literature-based analysis [14]. Correlations between PFS and PS were lower for AGC than for those in patients with advanced colorectal cancer [10] or for those seen in studies of adjuvant treatment for colorectal cancer or gastric cancer [20,21]. These results suggest that PFS is not a good surrogate for OS in patients undergoing firstline chemotherapy for AGC.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 54%
“…The correlation between treatment effects on PFS and OS in each trial was only moderate (trial-level decision coefficient R 2 adjusted for estimation errors was 0.61), which is the same strength of relationship seen in the literature-based analysis [14]. Correlations between PFS and PS were lower for AGC than for those in patients with advanced colorectal cancer [10] or for those seen in studies of adjuvant treatment for colorectal cancer or gastric cancer [20,21]. These results suggest that PFS is not a good surrogate for OS in patients undergoing firstline chemotherapy for AGC.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 54%
“…Moreover, we have a relatively long follow up period with the median followup time in this study being 4.31 years. Notably, 3-year DFS is a strong predictor of OS for 5FU-containing combination chemotherapy (Sargent et al, 2007) and it is agreed by various regulatory authorities to be adopted as the candidate for primary end point for adjuvant cancer trials. Therefore, we believe our data are mature enough to shed light in this important topic.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As with the similar GASTRIC and ACCENT databases in gastric and adjuvant colorectal cancer [11,12], the patientlevel approach adopted in the ARCAD database provides a more informative and statistically robust basis for research than could be achieved through meta-analyses based on published literature or summary statistics. Compared with these methodologies, the individual-patient approach reduces publication and reporting bias, gives access to the most recent data, permits data checking, and, crucially, affords greater scope for novel analyses [13,14].…”
Section: Gastrointestinal Cancermentioning
confidence: 99%