Recent dramatic declines in global malaria burden and mortality can be largely attributed to the large-scale deployment of insecticidal-based measures, namely longlasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS). However, the sustainability of these gains, and the feasibility of global malaria eradication by 2040, may be aected by increasing insecticide resistance among the Anopheles malaria vector.We employ a new dierential-equations based mathematical model, which incorporates the full, weather-dependent mosquito lifecycle, to assess the population-level impact of