Drought in the city: The economic impact of water scarcity in Latin American metropolitan areas

Desbureaux, Sébastien; Rodella, Aude-Sophie

doi:10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.09.026

Cited by 58 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 50 publications

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“…Rural populations are commonly assumed to be more vulnerable to the effects of climatic variability given their disproportionate reliance on rainfed agriculture and lower levels of wealth to protect against climate impacts (Nawrotzki et al 2017;Sahn & Stifel 2003). However, such hypothesized differences may be overstated given urban populations' vulnerability to climate-induced changes in food prices, in the prevalence of malnutrition-increasing illnesses, and to heat island effects (Desbureaux & Rodella 2019;Headey & Martin 2016). Many urban households in Africa also retain close ties to rural areas through migration and other exchanges of resources and persons, thereby blurring rural-urban boundaries (Eloundou-Enyegue & Stokes 2002).…”

Section: Variation In Climate Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate variability and child nutrition: Findings from sub-Saharan Africa

Thiede

Strube

2020

Global Environmental Change

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Climatic variability affects many underlying determinants of child malnutrition, including food availability, access, and utilization. Evidence of the effects of changing temperatures and precipitation on children's nutritional status nonetheless remains limited. Research addressing this knowledge gap is merited given the short-and long-run consequences of malnutrition. We address this issue by estimating the effects of temperature and precipitation anomalies on the weight and wasting status of children ages 0-59 months across 16 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Linear regression models show that high temperatures and low precipitation are associated with reductions in child weight, and that high temperatures also lead to increased risk of wasting. We find little evidence of substantively meaningful differences in these effects across sub-populations of interest. Our results underscore the vulnerability of young children to climatic variability and its second-order economic and epidemiological effects. The study also highlights the corresponding need to design and assess interventions to effectively mitigate these impacts.

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Section: Variation In Climate Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate variability and child nutrition: Findings from sub-Saharan Africa

Thiede

Strube

2020

Global Environmental Change

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“…However, temperature anomalies have null effects during dry spells in such places. This set of results undermines the common but wrongly-held assumption that rural populations are uniformly most vulnerable to climate change (Desbureaux & Rodella 2019). It also raises questions about rural women's ability to reduce fertility in the face of resource constraints, which may be limited due to poor access to contraceptives or pronatalist social norms (White et al 2008).…”

Section: Variation In Climate Effects Across Demographic Groupsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Temperature and Precipitation Effects on Birth Rates in Sub-Saharan Africa

Thiede¹,

Ronnkvist²,

Armao³

et al. 2020

Preprint

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Previous literature on climate change and human population dynamics has mainly focused on how population growth affects greenhouse gas emissions. Much less research has analyzed how climatic variability influences the size of human populations, despite reasonable expectations of such effects. Evidence of climate-fertility linkages, or lack thereof, is needed to refine understandings of adaptive behaviors. It is also needed to refine models of the demographic drivers of greenhouse gas emissions, which tend to assume climatic changes will not feedback to impact population dynamics. We test this relationship using birth histories from 23 sub-Saharan African countries and high-resolution climate data. Our analyses show that exposure to climatic variability is associated with fertility in sub-Saharan Africa, albeit in complex ways. Women exposed to hot-and-dry spells experience significant reductions in the annual probability of fertility, while exposure to above-average temperatures and precipitation is associated with increased fertility over baseline. These associations vary between demographic and geographic groups, revealing important differences in vulnerability and adaptive behavior.

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“…The use of standard-deviation based thresholds to distinguish between 'normal' and 'extreme' events is common in the climate economics literature (e.g. Desbureaux and Rodella, 2017). In our analysis, this enables us to capture potential non-linearities between the growth rate of real GDP per capita and inequality.…”

Section: Defining 'Good Times' and 'Bad Times'mentioning

confidence: 99%

Inequality in Good and Bad Times

Hacibedel¹,

Mandon²,

Muthoora³

et al. 2019

IMF Working Papers

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This paper provides evidence of a strong relationship between the short-term dynamics of growth and inequality in developing economies. We find that reductions in inequality during growth upswings are largely reversed during growth slowdowns. Using a new methodology (mediation analysis), we identify unemployment, and youth unemployment especially, as the main channel through which fluctuations in growth affect future dynamics in inequality. These findings suggest that both the quality of jobs created and labor market policies are important to ensure that growth outcomes are conducive to inequality reduction.

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Drought in the city: The economic impact of water scarcity in Latin American metropolitan areas

Cited by 58 publications

References 50 publications

Climate variability and child nutrition: Findings from sub-Saharan Africa

Climate variability and child nutrition: Findings from sub-Saharan Africa

Temperature and Precipitation Effects on Birth Rates in Sub-Saharan Africa

Inequality in Good and Bad Times

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