Development of methodology for the selection of routes for the movement of vehicles transporting dangerous goods in terms of risk management

Defining risks on road sections during the transport of dangerous goods in the Serbian army using the linear mathematical programming model

“…Risks that appear in the field of logistics, especially in the field of transport, are an area of interest for many authors. Milovanović (2012) in his dissertation pays special attention to the risks that occur during the transport of dangerous goods, which is one of the subjects of this research. In order to safely implement the transport process of dangerous goods, it is necessary to manage the risk, which is a very complex process, and one of the steps in this process is the choice of routes for vehicles transporting dangerous goods.Selecting routes for the movement of vehicles transporting dangerous goods without quantifying the level of risk within each route would lead to the possibility of wrong choice and, consequently, to potential serious consequences that can be caused by dangerous goods transported.…”

“…First of all, it is necessary to terminologically define these two terms, describe the differences between them and define their limit values. Individual risk represents the annual mortality rate of the average individual who is constantly exposed to danger without protective equipment within the zone of influence (Milovanović, 2012). Social risk is the cumulative value of the probability of an accident with several victims within the impact zone (Ormsby & Le, 1988;Castillo, 2004).…”

“…In order to effectively manage the risk of an incident during the transport of dangerous goods, it is necessary to carry out activities that are interdependent and to have relevant data on the characteristics of dangerous goods, the number of incidents from the previous period by dangerous goods classes, population and environmental consequences, incident situations in the previous period and the capacities of the response services in case of an incident situation (ambulance, firefighters and police). As already mentioned, risk is the product of the probability of an accident involving a vehicle transporting dangerous goods and the number of inhabitants who are potentially exposed to dangerous goods due to the accident (Milovanović, 2012):…”

“…By starting to deal with the risk of occurrence of incidental urbanization in transport of dangerous goods, the probability of occurrence of an incident situation and the magnitude of the consequences for the environment are reduced. There are two types of activities aimed at reducing primary risk, namely (Milovanović, 2012):…”

“…In order to effectively manage the risks on road sections during the transport of dangerous goods, it is necessary to analyze the dangers of incidents. A hazard analysis is realized through three phases (Milovanović, 2012):…”