Demographic transition, demographic dividend, and Lewis turning point in China

Cai, Fang

doi:10.1080/17538963.2010.511899

Cited by 254 publications

(154 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…Rickne [22] studied the relationship between labor market conditions and social insurance participation among Chinese industrial firms and found that the increased scarcity of labor, large shares of uninsured workers, large shares of low-educated workers and those without labor unions were quantitatively important drivers of participation. The results of his tests were supported by the findings of the studies by different authors, namely: Cai [23], Meng [24], and Blechova et al [25] impact of aging population and rural-urban migration; Lu, Tao and Wang [26] unionization; Nyland et al [27]; Nielsen and Smith [28] negative association of firm size; Mao et al [29] positive association of firm size; Nyland et al [30], Cheng et al [31], Guo and Gao [32], Smyth et al [33] education impact; Nielsen et al [34], Smyth et al [33] urban residence permit; Gao et al [35] labor contract status.…”

Section: Literature Reviewsupporting

confidence: 77%

Determinants of Social Insurance Coverage in the Philippines

Mandigma¹

2016

IJSSH

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Section: Literature Reviewsupporting

confidence: 77%

Determinants of Social Insurance Coverage in the Philippines

Mandigma¹

2016

IJSSH

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“…This is the transition from a labour surplus economy with comparative advantage in labour-intensive products, to an increasingly diverse economy, with diverse comparative advantage centred upon capital-intensive and technologically sophisticated products (Cai 2010;Garnaut 2010 and other contributions to the special issue of the China Economic Journal, vol. 3, July 2010, Garnaut 2011c.…”

Section: How Long Will It Last?mentioning

confidence: 99%

The contemporary China resources boom*

Garnaut¹

2012

Aus J Agri & Res Econ

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Commodity prices are formed by the interaction of global economic growth and costs of expanding supply of commodities. They tend to be high for long periods when global average growth rates are high, and low for long periods when growth rates are low, and to fluctuate around these averages as short term demand departs from expectations. The growth of advanced developing countries is especially influential in determining global demand for resources. Exceptional growth and resource intensity of China have been the main determinants of high energy and metals prices since about 2003. Short term cyclical factors have pushed energy and metal prices higher still, because markets did not anticipate the strength of Chinese demand and supply takes time to catch up. The high resource intensity of Chinese growth has been the result of high investment rates and rapid increases in urban population and the export share of production. Strong growth is likely to continue although at slowly receding rates, but growth will become less resource intensive, leading to moderation of global commodity prices. Strong growth in China and the world are at risk if effective policies are not adopted to break the nexus between economic growth and pressure on the environment.

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“…Therefore, the LFPT calculated with method (2) is more reasonable to express the willingness to be employed by labor force in China. LFPT calculation excluding students was 77.1% in 2010, which declined to 73.14 in 2010 and kept stable after 2010 with 72.98 in 2015, which is 3% higher than the result in method (1). …”

Section: Labor Force Participation Ratementioning

confidence: 65%

“…The political controlling of labor liquidity was more easy than before, and with the rapid construction of urban area, more and more rural migrants, which were residents of rural but had employment in urban more than 1 year, involved and contributed to these infrastructure construction, manufacturing sectors, and expansion of the city, which contributes about 25% of the economic growth of China [1].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…From 2006, the debate about the aging population in China and the shortage of labor forces are attractive. Cai [1] stated the coming of "Lewis turning point" in China and the lower labor cost finished with negative impact on China's sustainable growth [10]. All these early researches covered different subfields of labor market with their different surveys or data investigated from different resources.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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New Features of Labor Market and Their Impact in China

Meng¹

2017

Proceedings of the 3rd Czech-China Scientific Conference 2017

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After 30 years of development, China has great transaction of the labor market from a government-controlled market to a market-driven market. Previous researches stated the various characteristics of Chinese labor market. However, with rapid development, the labor market in China has some new and unpredicted changes in recent years. With the comprehensive, rigorous, and consistent data investigated from 2000 to 2015, which come from the National Bureau of Statistic of China (NBSC), this paper does a descriptive research on verification of common features stated in the previous literature, disclosing some new features and changes of current Chinese labor market. These features include the following: (1) the average wage in society keeps increasing with a relative decrease of return to education; (2) the old pattern of labor mobility, from rural area to urban area, is steady; however, the growth rate of urban population keeps decreasing, and the mobility of labor forces showed significant regional inequality; (3) the effectiveness and conduction of labor law and regulation are challenged by labor market segmentation caused by informal employment; and (4) the labor force participation rate (LFPR) in China keeps stable after 2010, with four different definitions. This paper designs a new way of measurement of informal sectors and indicates that the labor force participation rate in China is steady, not declining, after 2010. This analysis not only provides a complete understating of the current Chinese labor market but also indicates the potential impact and problem caused by these new and changing features of Chinese labor market for researcher and policy-maker.

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Demographic transition, demographic dividend, and Lewis turning point in China

Cited by 254 publications

References 11 publications

Determinants of Social Insurance Coverage in the Philippines

Determinants of Social Insurance Coverage in the Philippines

The contemporary China resources boom*

New Features of Labor Market and Their Impact in China

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