DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/vgbkx
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Paul Henne, Aleksandra Kulesza, Karla Perez, Augustana Houcek

Abstract: People tend to judge more recent events, relative to earlier ones, as the cause of some particular outcome. For instance, people are more inclined to judge that the last basket, rather than the first, caused the team to win the basketball game. This recency effect, however, reverses in cases of overdetermination: people judge that earlier events, rather than more recent ones, caused the outcome when the event is individually sufficient but not individually necessary for the outcome. In five experiments (N = 55…

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