Abstract. Information on marine CO2 system variability has been
limited along the northeast Pacific Inside Passage despite the region's rich
biodiversity, abundant fisheries, and developing aquaculture industry.
Beginning in 2017, the Alaska Marine Highway System M/V Columbia has served as a
platform for surface underway data collection while conducting twice weekly
∼1600 km transits between Bellingham, Washington, and Skagway,
Alaska. Marine CO2 system patterns were evaluated using measurements
made over a 2-year period, which revealed the seasonal cycle as the dominant
mode of temporal variability. The amplitude of this signal varied spatially
and was modulated by the relative influences of tidal mixing, net community
production, and the magnitude and character of freshwater input. Surface
water pHT (total hydrogen ion scale) and aragonite saturation state
(Ωarag) were determined using carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2) data with
alkalinity derived from a regional salinity-based relationship, which was
evaluated using intervals of discrete seawater samples and underway pH
measurements. High-pCO2, low-pHT, and corrosive Ωarag
conditions (Ωarag<1) were seen during winter and
within persistent tidal mixing zones, and corrosive Ωarag
values were also seen in areas that receive significant glacial melt in
summer. Biophysical drivers are shown to dominate pCO2 variability over
most of the Inside Passage except in areas highly impacted by glacial melt.
pHT and Ωarag extremes were also characterized based on
degrees of variability and severity, and regional differences were evident.
Computations of the time of detection identified tidal mixing zones as
strategic observing sites with relatively short time spans required to
capture secular trends in seawater pCO2 equivalent to the contemporary
rise in atmospheric CO2. Finally, estimates of anthropogenic CO2
showed notable spatiotemporal variability. Changes in total hydrogen ion
content ([H+]T), pHT, and Ωarag over the
industrial era and to an atmospheric pCO2 level consistent with a
1.5 ∘C warmer climate were theoretically evaluated. These
calculations revealed greater absolute changes in [H+]T and
pHT in winter as opposed to larger Ωarag change in summer.
The contemporary acidification signal everywhere along the Inside Passage
exceeded the global average, with specific areas, namely Johnstone Strait
and the Salish Sea, standing out as potential bellwethers for the emergence
of biological ocean acidification (OA) impacts. Nearly half of the contemporary acidification
signal is expected over the coming 15 years, with an atmospheric CO2
trajectory that continues to be shaped by fossil–fuel development.