“…Current situation corresponds to present species composition, whereas historical situation refers to composition two centuries ago, that is, before human-induced changes in compositions through non-native introductions and extirpations of native species (Olden & Rooney, 2006). Although the patterns and determinants of changes in taxonomic similarity between assemblages from historical to current situation have been increasingly studied (Rahel, 2000;Olden & Poff, 2004;Leprieur et al, 2008b;Spear & Chown, 2008;Winter et al, 2009;Vill eger et al, 2011;Hermoso et al, 2012), much less attention has been devoted to future trends (but see Duncan & Lockwood, 2001;Olden & Poff, 2004;Olden et al, 2008a;Matsuzaki et al, 2013), especially at large spatial scales. Although the patterns and determinants of changes in taxonomic similarity between assemblages from historical to current situation have been increasingly studied (Rahel, 2000;Olden & Poff, 2004;Leprieur et al, 2008b;Spear & Chown, 2008;Winter et al, 2009;Vill eger et al, 2011;Hermoso et al, 2012), much less attention has been devoted to future trends (but see Duncan & Lockwood, 2001;Olden & Poff, 2004;Olden et al, 2008a;Matsuzaki et al, 2013), especially at large spatial scales.…”