2018
DOI: 10.1676/17-00057.1
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Changing patterns of natural selection on morphology of Cliff Swallows during severe weather

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Cited by 2 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…If, as predicted, the frequency of bad weather events in the Nebraska study area increases with global climate change [19,32], more frequent episodic selection for larger brains could lead to permanent microevolutionary change in brain size over time, as we have seen for other traits [16]. However, such a directional shift is so far not evident in our data: year had no significant effect on brain size over the 37 years of our study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 41%
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“…If, as predicted, the frequency of bad weather events in the Nebraska study area increases with global climate change [19,32], more frequent episodic selection for larger brains could lead to permanent microevolutionary change in brain size over time, as we have seen for other traits [16]. However, such a directional shift is so far not evident in our data: year had no significant effect on brain size over the 37 years of our study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 41%
“…Multiple-day periods of cold and rainy weather in late-spring (when insects are not active) lead to cliff swallow mortality owing to starvation that varies in severity depending on how long the cold weather lasts [14,19]. We documented that cold weather caused mortality in 1988, 1992, 1996, 2004 and 2017; that of 1996 was the most severe, with at least 53% of the population perishing over a 6-day period [14].…”
Section: (B) Specimen Collection and Weather Eventsmentioning
confidence: 87%
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“…Although we detected five unusual climatic events that resulted in cliff swallow mortality in our study area from 1982 to 2018 (Brown and Brown , Brown et al. ), in only one of these (1996) was mortality widespread enough for us to measure effects of colony size. However, with unusual climatic events predicted to increase in frequency in the future (Bailey and van de Pol , Kingsolver and Buckley ), their effect on social behavior should be closely monitored.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…Based on climatic records, we could identify only two weather events of that likely severity between 1875 and the present (Brown and Brown , Brown et al. ).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%