2012
DOI: 10.1111/j.1582-4934.2012.01631.x
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Changes in type‐specific human papillomavirus load predict progression to cervical cancer

Abstract: Persistent high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is strongly associated with the development of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or cancer (CIN3+). However, HPV infection is common and usually transient. Viral load measured at a single time-point is a poor predictor of the natural history of HPV infection. The profile of viral load evolution over time could distinguish HPV infections with carcinogenic potential from infections that regress. A case-cohort natural history study was set-up u… Show more

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Cited by 53 publications
(94 citation statements)
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References 33 publications
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“…In contrast to a slight decrease among women who did not develop CIN2-3 under observation, the viral loads were higher and tended to increase even further among women who had a diagnosis of CIN2-3 at the last positive visit. This agrees with previous reports on clinical outcomes with respect to changes in HPV16 DNA loads (6,14), suggesting that sustained higher viral loads may signal the progression of cervical lesions.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 82%
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“…In contrast to a slight decrease among women who did not develop CIN2-3 under observation, the viral loads were higher and tended to increase even further among women who had a diagnosis of CIN2-3 at the last positive visit. This agrees with previous reports on clinical outcomes with respect to changes in HPV16 DNA loads (6,14), suggesting that sustained higher viral loads may signal the progression of cervical lesions.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 82%
“…Most previous studies were limited by small sample sizes and a cross-sectional study design. To date, published data on longitudinal changes in HPV31 DNA loads, stratified according to whether there was a subsequent diagnosis of CIN2-3, are even more rare (14,15). The profile of changes in viral loads over time may help to distinguish infections that tend to resolve from those that lead to the development of cervical lesions.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Furthermore, we encourage the use of primers targeting the E6 or E7 region and not L1, as L1-negative cancers have been described (27). And finally, we recommend the use of individual type-specific and normalized (for the number of cells) HPV tests which allow monitoring of individual patients over time (12). Such serial measurements without clinical threshold constraints (9,12,16), in comparison to a fixed single viral load threshold (24,25), could allow earlier detection of CIN2ϩ and improve clinical sensitivity.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is generally estimated that it takes several years to decades from the time of an initial HPV infection until development of a high-grade lesion and eventually formation of a tumor (96,97). On average, a CIN 3ϩ lesion is 9.4 years only when detected (97).…”
Section: Cervical Cancermentioning
confidence: 99%