2007
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0705494104
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Abstract: Severe thunderstorms comprise an extreme class of deep convective clouds and produce high-impact weather such as destructive surface winds, hail, and tornadoes. This study addresses the question of how severe thunderstorm frequency in the United States might change because of enhanced global radiative forcing associated with elevated greenhouse gas concentrations. We use global climate models and a high-resolution regional climate model to examine the larger-scale (or ''environmental'') meteorological conditio… Show more

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Cited by 295 publications
(297 citation statements)
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“…Brooks et al (2003Brooks et al ( , 2007 presented global CAPE climatology derived from 7 years using National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)/National Centres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis. For the United States and Europe, many researches have been done, sometimes through the use of several coupled atmosphere and ocean models (Trapp et al, 2007;Riemann-Campe et al, 2009 or by using 30 year climatology of CAPE and Convective Inhibition (CIN; Romero et al, 2007) based on ERA-40 from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF). Riemann-Campe et al (2010) also provided a global climatology of CAPE and CIN and their relation to convective precipitation, using 1979-2001ERA-40 reanalyses data and 1979-2009 ECHAM5/MPI-OM model and analyzed both parameters in terms of trends and how they change in a warmer climate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Brooks et al (2003Brooks et al ( , 2007 presented global CAPE climatology derived from 7 years using National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)/National Centres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis. For the United States and Europe, many researches have been done, sometimes through the use of several coupled atmosphere and ocean models (Trapp et al, 2007;Riemann-Campe et al, 2009 or by using 30 year climatology of CAPE and Convective Inhibition (CIN; Romero et al, 2007) based on ERA-40 from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF). Riemann-Campe et al (2010) also provided a global climatology of CAPE and CIN and their relation to convective precipitation, using 1979-2001ERA-40 reanalyses data and 1979-2009 ECHAM5/MPI-OM model and analyzed both parameters in terms of trends and how they change in a warmer climate.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…flash floods, hail storms, tempest storms, tornados, and lightning, deserve closer attention since these are likely to be particularly affected by future global warming (Trapp et al 2007(Trapp et al , 2009Botzen et al 2009) and there is some evidence that past climatic changes already affected severe thunderstorm activity in some regions (Dessens 1995;Kunz et al 2009). Figure 7a shows that there is no significant trend in global insured losses for these peril types.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Injection of additional monoterpenes into the surface layer of the free troposphere as a result of storms may help explain enhanced levels of secondary organic aerosol observed in other studies (Heald et al, 2005). This aspect is particularly important as the frequency and intensity of severe thunderstorms is predicted to increase over time in response to climate change, with an additional two strong event days per year by the end of the century (Trapp et al, 2007(Trapp et al, , 2009.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 93%