Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment

Walsh, John E.; Wuebbles, Donald J.; Hayhoe, Katharine; Kossin, James P.; Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Stephens, George; Thorne, Peter; Vose, Russell S.; Wehner, Michael; Willis, J. K.; Anderson, D. N.; Doney, Scott C.; Feely, Richard A.; Hennon, P.; Kharin, Viatcheslav; Knutson, Thomas R.; Landerer, F. W.; Lenton, Tim; Kennedy, John J.; Somerville, Richard C. J.

doi:10.7930/j0kw5cxt

Cited by 398 publications

(273 citation statements)

References 194 publications

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“…Leading indicators are predictive of future conditions, based either on currently measured indicators that signify something important about the future or on models that can verifiably forecast future conditions. Leading indicators have been created for a number of key climate variables, such as surface temperature and precipitation (Walsh et al 2014), but leading indicators for climate impacts are less developed yet critically important for informing adaptation actions. To pursue a research strategy related to leading climate impact and vulnerability indicators, it will be advisable when scientifically feasible to identify their optimal temporal scale so that they can be useful in both current and future decision contexts.…”

Section: Research Opportunitiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Building an integrated U.S. National Climate Indicators System

2016

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During the development of the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment, an indicators system was recommended as a foundational product to support a sustained assessment process (Buizer et al. 2013). The development of this system, which we call the National Climate Indicators System (NCIS), has been an important early product of a sustained assessment process. In this paper, we describe the scoping and development of recommendations and prototypes for the NCIS, with the expectation that the process and lessons learned will be useful to others developing suites of indicators. Key factors of initial success are detailed, as well as a robust vision and decision criteria for future development; we also provide suggestions for voluntary support of the broader scientific community, and for funding priorities, including a research team to coordinate and prototype the indicators, system, and process. Moving forward, sufficient coordination and scientific expertise to implement and maintain the NCIS, as well as creation of a structure for scientific input from the broader community, will be crucial to its success.Climatic Change (2016) 135:85-96 DOI 10.1007/s10584-016-1609-

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Section: Research Opportunitiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Building an integrated U.S. National Climate Indicators System

2016

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“…1). This domain is chosen because of its general spatial coherence in terms of its summer climatology at lower elevations and because it has been analyzed extensively in the literature (Gershunov et al 2009;Walsh et al 2014). Decadal anomalies are calculated as the differences from the mean over the period 1901-1960. The CA/NV domain's JJA Tmax_hi (Fig.…”

Section: Decadal Temperature Anomalies In the Observationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley

et al. 2015

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Probabilistic event attribution (PEA) is an important tool for assessing the contribution of climate change to extreme weather events. Here, PEA is applied to explore the climate attribution of recent extreme heat events in California's Central Valley. Heat waves have become progressively more severe due to increasing relative humidity and nighttime temperatures, which increases the health risks of exposed communities, especially Latino farmworkers and other socioeconomically disadvantaged communities. Using a superensemble of simulations with the Hadley Centre Regional Model (HadRM3P), we find that (1) simulations of the hottest summer days during the 2000s were twice as likely to occur using observed levels of greenhouse gases than in a counterfactual world without major human activities, suggesting a strong relationship between heat extremes and the increase in human emissions of greenhouse gases, (2) detrimental impacts of heat on public health-relevant variables, such as the number of days above 40°C, can be quantified and attributed to human Climatic Change (2015) 133:427-438 DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1474-

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“…This results in the increasingly common and severe weather anomalies which lead to spatial, economic and social transformations, most devastatingly felt in developing states. In the long-term context their consequences will be experienced in every place on Earth (Walsh and Wuebbles, 2014). The influence of these changes might prove unfavourable for the development of many countries, and their consequences -if no response tools are introduced and utilised -may lead to extreme results (Ministry of the Environment, 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Urban Adaptation to Climate Change Plans and Policies – the Conceptual Framework of a Methodological Approach

Kiełkowska¹,

Tokarczyk-Dorociak²,

Kazak³

et al. 2018

J. Ecol. Eng.

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The adaptation of urbanised areas to climate change is currently one of the key challenges in the domain of urban policy. The diversity of environmental determinants requires the formulation of individual plans dedicated to the most significant local issues. This article serves as a methodic proposition for the stage of retrieving data (with the PESTEL and the Delphi method), systemic diagnosis (evaluation of risk and susceptibility), prognosis (goal trees, goal intensity map) and the formulation of urban adaptation plans. The suggested solution complies with the Polish guidelines for establishing adaptation plans. The proposed methodological approach guarantees the participation of various groups of stakeholders in the process of working on urban adaptation plans, which is in accordance with the current tendencies to strengthen the role of public participation in spatial management.

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Ch. 2: Our Changing Climate. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment

Cited by 398 publications

References 194 publications

Building an integrated U.S. National Climate Indicators System

Building an integrated U.S. National Climate Indicators System

Climate change, climate justice and the application of probabilistic event attribution to summer heat extremes in the California Central Valley

Urban Adaptation to Climate Change Plans and Policies – the Conceptual Framework of a Methodological Approach

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