Boom or Bust? Population Dynamics in Natural Resource-Dependent Counties

Winkler, Richelle; Cheng, Cheng; Golding, S

doi:10.1007/978-94-007-1842-5_24

Cited by 26 publications

(40 citation statements)

References 41 publications

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“…Because of their lack of diversified economies, such communities are generally less resilient in the face of change; they are subject to boom-and-bust cycles, often coming into existence for a period of decades and ceasing to exist when the resource is exhausted (Winkler et al 2012). Although fishing communities are subject to the same boom-and-bust cycles that affect other resource-dependent communities, the renewable nature of fisheries resources and the great diversity and resilience of ocean and coastal ecosystems can provide a buffer against shocks to fishing economies.…”

Section: Community Resilience Strategiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience strategies in the face of short- and long-term change: out-migration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities

Himes‐Cornell¹,

Hoelting²

2015

E&S

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. 2015. Resilience strategies in the face of short-and long-term change: out-migration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities. Ecology and Society 20(2): 9. http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES- ResearchResilience strategies in the face of short-and long-term change: outmigration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities Amber Himes-Cornell 1 and Kristin Hoelting 2 ABSTRACT. Historically, communities persisted in remote, isolated areas of Alaska in large part because of the abundance of marine and terrestrial resources, as well as the ability of local people to opportunistically access those resources as they became available. Species switching and the ability to shift effort away from fisheries during poor years allowed local residents to diversify their livelihoods in the face of uncertainties and ecological change. The advent of modern fisheries management, which views Alaskan fisheries as the property of all citizens of the United States, has fundamentally altered the relationship of place-based communities to fishery resources. Local access to fisheries has been particularly affected by the development of transferable fishing privileges, making it possible for fishing rights to leave place-based communities through the choices of individual community members to sell or to move away. When fishing communities in Alaska lose active fishing businesses, over time the loss of various types of community capital will follow, including human, social, cultural, technical, and financial capital. In some cases, communities are able to adapt or transform through diversification of their local economies. In other cases, no alternatives to a fishery-based economy are accessible. We have used resilience theory to explore drivers of change affecting Alaskan fishing communities. Emphasis was placed on two primary change drivers, the regulatory environment and rural out-migration, as well as their interconnections and their impacts on individuals, communities, and the larger social-ecological system. We summarized several government programs that have been implemented to support the continued participation of communities in Alaskan fisheries. In addition, we reviewed informal and private-sector efforts to generate resilience strategies that can facilitate new entry into fisheries or retain fishing businesses and fishing rights within communities, as well as respond to increasing uncertainty related to the global market and climate changes.

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Section: Community Resilience Strategiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Resilience strategies in the face of short- and long-term change: out-migration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities

Himes‐Cornell¹,

Hoelting²

2015

E&S

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“…; Nelson ; Winkler et al. ). For this reason, studying migration trends, including the intentions of rural Americans to migrate, is critical for understanding population change in rural places.…”

Section: Migration Trends In Rural Americamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While controlling for individual characteristics, we also consider the role of place by examining the importance of county region, economic dependence, recreation and retirement status, and population size in rural residents' propensity to migrate. Further study of the various drivers of migration can help shed light on why the populations of some rural communities are growing extremely fast, while others face dwindling and aging populations as significant portions of their young, educated adults migrate (Carr and Kefalas ; Johnson ; McGranahan, Cromartie, and Wojan ; Winkler, Cheng, and Golding ). Through our analysis, we contribute to the understanding of the complex relationship between rural places, community assessments, and migratory patterns.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Role of Community Assessments, Place, and the Great Recession in the Migration Intentions of Rural Americans

2013

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Many rural areas of the United States are experiencing population decline due to out‐migration. However, others—especially those places rich in natural amenities and recreational opportunities—are attracting new residents and losing less of their native population. In this article we investigate the predictors of rural Americans' migration intentions by examining how individual‐level community assessments, including community attachment and perceptions of community‐level problems, shape rural Americans' migration decision making while controlling for individual and place effects. Drawing on survey data from 17,000 residents in 11 different rural areas around the United States, we find that community attachment is a key predictor of rural migration, even during periods of economic recession, and regardless of individual and place characteristics or perceptions of community‐level problems. We also find that multiple dimensions of community attachment (e.g., practical, natural, family, community trust) have independent effects on the propensity of rural residents to migrate. Our research contributes to knowledge on migration trends among rural Americans by exploring the complicated reasoning behind why people stay in, or move to, certain rural communities and not others.

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“…Youth and young adults leaving rural areas in search of opportunity elsewhere has been a problem facing some rural communities for decades (Johnson and Rathge ; Lichter, McLaughlin, and Cornwell ; Rieger ). At the same time, other rural areas experience population growth (McGranahan, Cromartie, and Wojan ; Winkler, Cheng, and Golding ). Explanations for rural youth outmigration tend to focus on lack of educational and job opportunities (Lichter et al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Perceptions of Current and Future Community on Residential Aspirations of Rural Youth

2014

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Outmigration of youth has concerned rural communities and researchers for several decades. Yet not all communities experience extensive youth outmigration and some youth want to stay in their rural communities as adults. This article examines youth satisfaction with their current community and the importance of characteristics of the community in which they would like to live as an adult for youth preferences to leave or stay in their rural community. The data are for rural ninth-grade youth in Pennsylvania from the Rural Youth Education Project. The results suggest that perceptions of available jobs and educational opportunities in both current and future community, parental and friend influences, and the quality of the natural environment and outdoor recreation are important in determining residential aspirations. In particular, identifying a clean natural environment and outdoor recreation as important in the adult community increases the likelihood that rural youth have residential aspirations to stay in their rural community. This research adds to our knowledge about factors important in determining youth residential aspirations by identifying attributes of community beyond jobs and educational opportunities that youth find attractive as they consider places to live as adults.

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Boom or Bust? Population Dynamics in Natural Resource-Dependent Counties

Cited by 26 publications

References 41 publications

Resilience strategies in the face of short- and long-term change: out-migration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities

Resilience strategies in the face of short- and long-term change: out-migration and fisheries regulation in Alaskan fishing communities

The Role of Community Assessments, Place, and the Great Recession in the Migration Intentions of Rural Americans

Influence of Perceptions of Current and Future Community on Residential Aspirations of Rural Youth

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