2012
DOI: 10.1016/j.ymssp.2012.03.009
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Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a nonlinear finite element model

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Cited by 41 publications
(22 citation statements)
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“…Despite these uncertainties, MV models can provide insights unattainable from experiments alone, as George Box once said, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” To make the models meaningful, we need to address the model uncertainty in a rational way. Recently, statistics inference, such as Monte Carlo methods and the Gaussian process emulator, has been actively applied in many areas to quantify model uncertainty. Such an approach can provide confidence intervals of predictions with probability distributions of model inputs inferred from limited data sets .…”
Section: Challenges and Future Directionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite these uncertainties, MV models can provide insights unattainable from experiments alone, as George Box once said, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” To make the models meaningful, we need to address the model uncertainty in a rational way. Recently, statistics inference, such as Monte Carlo methods and the Gaussian process emulator, has been actively applied in many areas to quantify model uncertainty. Such an approach can provide confidence intervals of predictions with probability distributions of model inputs inferred from limited data sets .…”
Section: Challenges and Future Directionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These parameters were selected because they are sources of significant uncertainty and interest, data is readily available concerning their upper and lower limits, and they can be easily varied within the LS-Dyna input file. Some other parameters such as leaflet thickness were discounted due to results from a previous study (Becker et al, 2008), and the lack of available data. Thubrikar quotes the ranges of l* and C5L, which are known to vary from person to person (Thubrikar, 1990).…”
Section: Uncertainty Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A completely general framework for Bayesian sensitivity analysis can be found in [110]. Recent applications can be found in [111,112]; the first looks at a nonlinear FE model of a heart valve; the second looks at the design of a system for detecting hard landings for aircraft landing gear.…”
Section: Sensitivity-based Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%