OBJECTIVE -Families of children diagnosed with type 1 diabetes require counseling concerning type 1 diabetes risk in nondiabetic siblings and parents. No U.S. population-specific life-table risk estimates are currently available for parents, and those for siblings (2-6% by age 20 years) are based on family studies completed before 1987.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -We analyzed family histories of 1,586 patients in Colorado with type 1 diabetes (83% non-Hispanic white, 10% Hispanic, and 7% other) diagnosed before 16 years of age and interviewed during 1999 -2002. Families of probands with type 2, undetermined, or secondary diabetes (n ϭ 53) or those with incomplete data (n ϭ 137) were excluded. The median age at onset of the proband was 7.1 years and the median diabetes duration 3.5 years. Cumulative risk estimates were calculated using survival analysis for 2,081 full siblings and 3,016 biological parents.RESULTS -In siblings, the overall risk of type 1 diabetes by age 20 years was 4.4%, but it was significantly (P Ͻ 0.0001) higher in siblings of probands diagnosed under age 7 years than in those diagnosed later. In parents, the overall risk by age 40 years was 2.6% and higher in fathers (3.6%) than in mothers (1.7%) of probands (P Ͻ 0.001). Similar to siblings, the risk was also higher (P ϭ 0.006) in parents of probands diagnosed Ͻ7 years of age than in those diagnosed later.CONCLUSIONS -Current risks of type 1 diabetes in Colorado siblings and parents of type 1 diabetic probands are higher than in the 1982 Pittsburgh study but similar to contemporary European rates. Recurrence risk of type 1 diabetes is significantly higher in first-degree relatives of probands diagnosed at a young age.
Diabetes Care 28:296 -300, 2005O f the U.S. general population, 0.3% develop type 1 diabetes by the age of 20 years (1). The risk among siblings of type 1 diabetic patients is 10 -20% higher, up to 3-6% by age 20 years (2-4) and increases further to 10% by age 60 years (5). The cumulative risk to parents of type 1 diabetic patients is less elevated than among siblings and has been reported to be between 3 and 5% by the age 40 years to lifetime (2,4,6,7).Previously published cumulative risk estimates among first-degree relatives (FDRs) vary widely by age, ethnicity, and period of time and also likely vary due to differences in methods of ascertainment.Currently available risk estimates for the U.S. population are mainly based on family studies completed before 1987 (2,3) and may be outdated, since the incidence of type 1 diabetes has been increasing worldwide by 3-5% annually (8).In Europe, children with an early age of onset seem to have more siblings and parents affected by type 1 diabetes (9). In a recent U.K. study, survival analysis stratified according to the age at diagnosis of the proband gave much higher risk estimates in siblings of probands diagnosed before age 5 years (cumulative risk by age 20 years 11.7% compared with 3.6% for ages 5-9 years and 2.3% for ages 10 -14 years) (4); the same difference by the proband's a...