2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-018-0212-1
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Antarctic ice shelf disintegration triggered by sea ice loss and ocean swell

Abstract: Understanding the causes of recent catastrophic ice shelf disintegrations is a crucial step towards improving coupled models of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and predicting its future state and contribution to sea-level rise. An overlooked climate-related causal factor is regional sea ice loss. Here we show that for the disintegration events observed (the collapse of the Larsen A and B and Wilkins ice shelves), the increased seasonal absence of a protective sea ice buffer enabled increased flexure of vulnerable oute… Show more

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Cited by 260 publications
(298 citation statements)
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“…These same indicators were present prior to the 2002 collapse of the LBIS [2,55]. The recent formation of fast ice supporting the front of the ice shelf [31], combined with moderate MST values, may have prevented or delayed its collapse. The mechanism of MST and fast ice preventing SIIS disintegration needs to be further studied.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 69%
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“…These same indicators were present prior to the 2002 collapse of the LBIS [2,55]. The recent formation of fast ice supporting the front of the ice shelf [31], combined with moderate MST values, may have prevented or delayed its collapse. The mechanism of MST and fast ice preventing SIIS disintegration needs to be further studied.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 69%
“…Generally, as protective sea ice for the ice shelf front, fast ice provides support to the ice shelf that may reduce the possibility of disintegration events triggered by sea ice loss and ocean swell [31]. Here, the evolutionary changes of fast ice along the SIIS are evaluated for the austral summer of January and February when the temperature is high.…”
Section: Mean Austral Summer Temperature and Fast Ice Monitoringmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The SAM has a relatively short characteristic timescale of around 10 days, but the frequency of the positive polarity also has increased slowly on decadal timescales due to stratospheric ozone depletion (Thompson et al, 2011). The SAM is recognized to influence global ocean surface waves (Hemer et al, 2010;Marshall et al, 2018) and surface temperatures (Marshall, 2007), which in turn affect sea ice and ice shelves (Greene et al, 2017;Massom et al, 2018).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The accelerated melting and weakening of our sea ice cover has contributed to an increase in wave activity in the Arctic (Thomson and Rogers, 2014) and Antarctic (Massom et al, 2018;Stopa et al, 2018), and is a driver for further losses of ice in both regions. In response to the retreat of the ice cover, the Arctic has seen an increase in human and maritime activities (Stephenson et al, 2011;Melia et al, 2016).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%