“…The degree of slope on which STS are situated and their proximity to a watercourse are highly transferable environmental variables and well recognised risk factors (Tyre et al, 2023;Wiesner-Friedman et al, 2022). Although the notion of effluent movement risk, represented by HOST in our study, makes the elicited proportions more representative of the UK, these can be modified to fit classifications of soils and associated hydrological pathways outside of the UK as a generalised concept (Baykus et al, 2022;Tamang et al, 2022). While the three risk factors integrated into our combined scenarios are recognised as key drivers of FIO risk (Glendell et al, 2018), the expert judgements provide only a first approximation of the likelihood of annual FIO delivery from STS to watercourses.…”