2003
DOI: 10.1007/s00198-003-1454-8
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A theoretical analysis of the relative influences of peak BMD, age-related bone loss and menopause on the development of osteoporosis

Abstract: Factors that determine a post-menopausal woman's bone mineral density (BMD) include her mass at the time of skeletal maturity (peak BMD), menopause and the rate of loss she experiences as she ages. Understanding the relative influence of each of these factors may help identify important preventive treatments and provide new ways to identify women at risk for osteoporosis. In this analysis we utilize a computer model of the bone remodeling process to predict the relative influences of peak BMD, menopause and ag… Show more

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Cited by 454 publications
(297 citation statements)
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“…Of potential relevance here, we note that Hernandez 19 suggests the strongest predictor of osteoporosis risk is peak bone mass, estimating a 10% increase would delay the onset of osteoporosis by 10 years.…”
Section: Study Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…Of potential relevance here, we note that Hernandez 19 suggests the strongest predictor of osteoporosis risk is peak bone mass, estimating a 10% increase would delay the onset of osteoporosis by 10 years.…”
Section: Study Limitationsmentioning
confidence: 82%
“…In part, this may reflect the limitations of DEXA in assessing bone density (by dividing BMC by projected bone area); projected bone area will systematically underestimate the skeletal bone volume of taller individuals; hence, the alternative ratio BMAD has been suggested (8). Recent work using computer models (21) has suggested that a 10% increase in peak BMD is predicted to delay the development of osteoporosis by 13 y, whereas a 10% change in the age at menopause or the rate of nonmenopausal bone loss is predicted to delay osteoporosis by~2 y, reinforcing the importance of peak bone mass in the cause of osteoporosis and fragility fractures. In a different approach, Tabensky et al (22) performed a study of mothers and daughters to demonstrate reduced vertebral volumetric BMD among women who had sustained a vertebral fracture, reflecting reduced accrual of bone during growth in addition to reduced periosteal apposition during aging.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This finding showed that a reduction in the number and size of resorption cavities with antiresorptive drug treatment can result in large reductions in fracture risk with only small increases in bone mass. In another study, Hernandez et al (8) used a computer model of trabecular bone remodeling to study the relative influences of peak BMD, onset time of menopause, and age-related bone loss on the development of osteoporosis. By varying these three parameters by ±10%, the model predicted that the onset of osteoporosis could be delayed longest by increasing peak BMD, which they argued suggests that intervention should focus on this aspect of the disease rather than the others.…”
Section: Background On Conceptual and Mathematical Modeling In Bone Rmentioning
confidence: 99%