2021
DOI: 10.3847/2515-5172/abeb7b
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Abstract: Abstract Previous critiques of the Drake Equation have highlighted its deterministic nature, implying that the number of civilizations is the same at all times. Here, I build upon earlier work and present a stochastic formulation. The birth of civilizations within the galaxy is modeled as following a uniform rate (Poisson) stochastic process, with a mean rate of λ C . Each then experiences a constant hazard rate of collapse, which defines… Show more

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