We apply quantum trajectory techniques to analyze a realistic set-up of a superconducting qubit coupled to a heat bath formed by a resistor, a system that yields explicit expressions of the relevant transition rates to be used in the analysis. We discuss the main characteristics of the jump trajectories and relate them to the expected outcomes ("clicks") of a fluorescence measurement using the resistor as a nanocalorimeter. As the main practical outcome we present a model that predicts the time-domain response of a realistic calorimeter subject to single microwave photons, incorporating the intrinsic noise due to the fundamental thermal fluctuations of the absorber and finite bandwidth of a thermometer.Quantum trajectories provide a way to predict the stochastic behaviour of an open quantum system experiencing the subtle influence of the environment via a non-Hermitian Hamiltonian, and jumps between eigenstates. Initially developed about 30 years ago as a computational aid [1][2][3][4], the trajectories are nowadays routinely used for interpretation of experiments even in modern macroscopic quantum systems [5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. For instance, in the currently active field of quantum thermodynamics, quantum trajectories provide an invaluable tool to describe the stochastic thermodynamics properties of open quantum systems [12][13][14][15][16][17]. In this paper we present an analysis of an archetypical basic set-up: a two-level system (qubit) coupled to a heat bath. In particular, we take a concrete system of a solid-state superconducting qubit [18] and resistive environment forming an equilibrium heat bath, which is readily realizable experimentally [19,20]. We focus here on the expected outcomes of a fluorescence measurement based on observing emitted and absorbed microwave photons by a nanocalorimeter that presents a circuit realization of a photoreceiver discussed in general terms, e.g. in [21]. We demonstrate that the common interpretation of the outcome of a projective measurement ("collapse") is consistent with the quantum jump trajectories. We present a stochastic simulation of the output of this detector in the presence of qubit-calorimeter interaction and coupling of the calorimeter to the phonon heat bath including thermal noise on the detector. This analysis illustrates the feasibility of such an experiment under realistic conditions, and its potential to detect not only the arrival times but also the energies of the quanta in a continuous measurement in the challenging regime of microwave photons.We consider a qubit coupled to a heat bath as schematically shown in the inset of Fig. 1a. The stochastic wave function of this system,is written in the basis of the ground |g and excited |e states. The non-Hermitian Hamiltonian of the system is 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 || 2 ,J ee , r ee , P no-jump | ۧ | ۧ Bath 0 2 4 6 8 0.0 0.5 1.0 G¯ t (a) (b) 0 20 40 60 80 clicks 0 20 40 60 80 100 repetition # (c) FIG. 1. Two level system (qubit) coupled to a heat bath, shown in the inset. (a) Time evolution of the ...