DOI: 10.1029/2004jd005314
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Abstract: [1] We propose a new methodology for evaluating predictive cumulative distribution functions (CDF) of ground effects for flood forecasting in mountainous environments. The methodology is based on the proper nesting of models suitable for probabilistic meteorological forecast, downscaling of rainfall, and hydrological modeling in order to provide a probabilistic prediction of ground effects of heavy rainfall events. Different ways of nesting are defined as function of the ratio between three typical scales: sc…

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