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Cited by 9 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…People also underappreciate how risks accumulate over time because of the complexity of the calculation (Doyle 1997;Fuller et al 2004;Keller et al 2006;Knäuper et al 2005;Linville et al 2015;Shaklee and Fischhoff 1990;Slovic et al 1978). Thus, even when asked to consider a larger bracket, unless people are given explicit probabilities, they tend to underestimate how much aggregation over time or repeated exposure affects the probabilities (Redelmeier and Tversky 1992).…”
Section: Risk Perception and Decisions From Experiencementioning
confidence: 99%
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“…People also underappreciate how risks accumulate over time because of the complexity of the calculation (Doyle 1997;Fuller et al 2004;Keller et al 2006;Knäuper et al 2005;Linville et al 2015;Shaklee and Fischhoff 1990;Slovic et al 1978). Thus, even when asked to consider a larger bracket, unless people are given explicit probabilities, they tend to underestimate how much aggregation over time or repeated exposure affects the probabilities (Redelmeier and Tversky 1992).…”
Section: Risk Perception and Decisions From Experiencementioning
confidence: 99%
“…While previous work on broad bracketing involved presenting the full distribution of outcomes, we present only a single number representing the probability of at least one loss within that time, i.e., the cumulative loss probability, which is most relevant for considering losses from natural disasters. The risk perception literature has documented people's difficulty in recognizing and understanding cumulative risk (Doyle 1997;Fuller et al 2004;Keller et al 2006;Knäuper et al 2005;Linville et al 2015;Shaklee and Fischhoff 1990;Slovic et al 1978), and two papers have examined the effect of cumulative loss probabilities on judgments (De La Maza et al 2019;Keller et al 2006), but no work has examined how explicitly presenting cumulative risk can be helpful in changing behavior.…”
Section: Broad Bracketing and Cumulative Probabilitiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Because most of the information that people receive on risk is through communication rather than direct experience, correct communication of risk and disaster management measures is a fundamental component of mitigation and for risk reduction (Barclay et al, 2008;Gaillard and Dibben, 2008;Sigurdsson et al, 2015;Loughlin et al, 2015). However, due to the difficulties in comprehension and translation of a risk message during passage of information between different actors in the communication chain, often scientific and disaster management-information becomes distorted and/or misunderstood (Block and Keller, 1995;McClure and Sibley, 2011;Leonard et al, 2014;Linville et al, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%