The use of robustness analysis for planning actions in a poor Brazilian community

Namen, Anderson Amendoeira; Bornstein, Claudio T.; Rosenhead, Jonathan

doi:10.1590/s0101-74382010000200002

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Techniques such as scenario writing and Futurology are instrumental in identifying possible futures and their probable outcomes based on current situations. Robustness analysis then assists in identifying stable factors across scenarios and understanding their primary influences, thereby facilitating decision-making under uncertainty [24].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Adaptation in Travel Agencies: Integrating MARA with SWOT for Uncertainty Navigation

Kordsofla,

Sorourkhah

2023

JOSA

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In the realm of managerial decision-making, particularly within the last few decades, the process has emerged as a formidable challenge. This paper focuses on strategic decision-making, crucial in determining organizational success or failure amidst prevailing uncertainties. To address this, the Matrix Approach to Robustness Analysis (MARA), a recent innovation, is integrated with the established Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats (SWOT) matrix. This integration aims to deliver robust outcomes in strategic planning for travel agencies. The methodology involves a comprehensive analysis of internal and external factors pertinent to a travel agency, applying the analytical rigor of the SWOT matrix. Subsequent to this analysis, a series of strategies are formulated. Central to this study is the identification of key environmental indicators, as perceived by stakeholders, which influence strategic outcomes. Through these indicators, various future scenarios are constructed, culminating in nineteen plausible scenarios. Each strategy, totalling twelve, is then evaluated against these scenarios to ascertain the conditions under which they are most effective, resulting in a performance matrix. The final phase involves calculating the robustness analysis scores for each strategy under two different assessment conditions: rigorous and lenient. These scores provide a basis for strategy prioritization in both scenarios. The analysis reveals that the strategy of expanding new pilgrimage tours holds the greatest promise, while the employment of relatives within the agency is deemed least effective. This study contributes to the field by offering a structured methodology for travel agencies to navigate uncertain environments, using a combination of MARA and SWOT. The findings underscore the importance of scenario-based strategic planning and robustness analysis in enhancing decision-making processes.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Adaptation in Travel Agencies: Integrating MARA with SWOT for Uncertainty Navigation

Kordsofla,

Sorourkhah

2023

JOSA

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“…Nowadays, organisations operate in a very complex and dynamic environment which makes some difficulties in the process of decision-making; particularly, in strategy selection. Increasing uncertainty [1], existence of many options and lack of quantitative data on future outcomes [2], unqualified or inadequate input information [3], the need to use stakeholders' opinions in strategic decisions [4] as well as fuzziness and vagueness of most of the problems [5] are some of the complexities that managers may encounter in the decision-making process. Hence, designing a model to be able to answer such complexities has attracted especial attentions.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Fuzzy-Weighted Approach to the Problem of Selecting the Right Strategy Using the Robustness Analysis (Case Study: Iran Automotive Industry)

Sorourkhah

Babaie-Kafaki

Azar

et al. 2019

Fuzzy Information and Engineering

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Purpose: We focus on a fuzzy-weighted approach to the robustness analysis based on experts' opinions for selecting a reasonable strategy in a special decision-making problem.Design/methodology/approach: We deal with environmental uncertainty by reviewing performance of the strategies among the alternative futures, to answer some complexities of the strategy selection problem by considering the desired number of scenarios, indicators and options as well as collecting experts' judgments in an appropriate time. Weights of the indicators determining the situations of future scenarios are considered as triangular fuzzy numbers. Also, we use the well-known Dolan-Moré performance profile in order to more precisely investigate the strategies situations, especially when their robustness levels are close to each other.Findings: According to the results, concerning environmental situations as well as the possible future of the automotive industry of Iran, the defensive strategy is a robust decision. Among the substrategies related to the main strategy defensive, retrenchment and divestiture strategies have a higher robustness level.Originality/value: Using matrix modeling, it is possible to overcome some of the weaknesses of the classical robustness analysis related to reviewing few scenarios, indicators and options as well as the time-consuming process of collecting the experts' opinions.

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“…This two-way flow and the underpinning provided by new paradigm techniques to both fields of Community Operational Research and Operational Research for Development are exemplified by the work of Naman and colleagues [19,20]. They report on the use of problem structuring methods by a small community in Brazil to explore alternatives for the improvement of life in such poor communities through enhanced self-management and sustainability in food production.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public health systems analysis - where the River Kabul meets the River Indus

Thunhurst

2013

Globalization and Health

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In this paper we review two recent paradigmatic shifts and consider how a two-way flow in innovation has been critical to the emergence of new thinking and new practices. The first area relates to our understanding of the nature of public health systems and the shift from a medical paradigm to a more holistic paradigm which emphasises the social, economic and environmental origins of ill-health and looks to these as key arenas in which to tackle persistent inequalities in populations’ health experiences. In respect of this paradigmatic shift, it is argued, developing countries were in advance of their more developed counterparts. Specifically, the Alma Ata Declaration and the Primary Health Care Approach which was central to its implementation pre-figured elements of what was to be called in developed countries The New Public Health such as the need for greater community involvement and recognition of the importance of other sectors in determining health outcomes. But this paradigmatic shift added a new complexity to our understanding which made the identification of appropriate policy responses increasingly difficult. However, a parallel shift was taking place in the cognate field of operational research/systems analysis (OR/SA) which was adding greatly to our ability to analyse and to identify key points of intervention in complex systems. This led to the emergence of new techniques for problem structuring which overcame many of the limitations of formal mathematical models which characterised the old paradigm. In this paradigmatic shift developed countries have led the way, specifically in the new fields of Community Operational Research and Operational Research for Development, but only by drawing strongly on the experience and philosophies to be found in developing countries.

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The use of robustness analysis for planning actions in a poor Brazilian community

Cited by 5 publications

References 17 publications

Strategic Adaptation in Travel Agencies: Integrating MARA with SWOT for Uncertainty Navigation

Strategic Adaptation in Travel Agencies: Integrating MARA with SWOT for Uncertainty Navigation

A Fuzzy-Weighted Approach to the Problem of Selecting the Right Strategy Using the Robustness Analysis (Case Study: Iran Automotive Industry)

Public health systems analysis - where the River Kabul meets the River Indus

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