2019
DOI: 10.1590/2179-8087.044118
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Abstract: This study applied a deforestation model for the entire State of Rondônia assuming three scenarios of deforestation: business as usual, optimistic and pessimistic. Those scenarios were constructed for the time-period of 2012-2050 using the Dinamica EGO software. Rondônia deforestation dataset was provided by the Agência Ambiental do Estado de Rondônia (Rondônia State Environmental Agency) and was used as input of the deforestation modeling. Based on this study results, we estimated that 32%, 37% and 47% of Ron… Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…A partir de dados gerados com o PRODES, passaram a serem conhecidas as taxas anuais do desmatamento por corte raso da floresta Amazônica, ou seja, quando havia conversão de floresta nativa para fins agrícolas e para o estabelecimento da atividade pecuária (PIONTEKOWSKI et al, 2014;ALMEIDA et al, 2016).…”
Section: Políticas Públicas De Prevenção E Controle Do Desmatamento Ilegalunclassified
“…A partir de dados gerados com o PRODES, passaram a serem conhecidas as taxas anuais do desmatamento por corte raso da floresta Amazônica, ou seja, quando havia conversão de floresta nativa para fins agrícolas e para o estabelecimento da atividade pecuária (PIONTEKOWSKI et al, 2014;ALMEIDA et al, 2016).…”
Section: Políticas Públicas De Prevenção E Controle Do Desmatamento Ilegalunclassified
“…Most of studies in the literature have focused on a single objective, such as developing deforestation scenarios [26,[36][37][38]66], and few studies have included the reforestation [39,40]. However, no studies were found that consider both forest processes at the same time to generate the future simulation of the forest cover, since conflicts arise when determining whether an area can be deforested or reforested in the future.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most of the studies that have been carried out in different parts of the world had been focused on determining areas to be deforested [26,[36][37][38] or reforested [39,40], without considering the occurrence of both forestry processes. Recent studies are focused on the genetic programming of forest areas [41], but the impact of forest cover changes on carbon sequestration has not been exhaustively analyzed.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A exemplo, em 2016, o desmatamento na Amazônia chegou a 7.893 km 2 e Rondônia contribuiu com 17% (1.376 km 2 ), e em 2019, o desmatamento na Amazônia foi de 9.762 km 2 e Rondônia teve uma contribuição de 13% (1.421 km 2 ) (INPE, 2019), sendo ainda um dos estados protagonistas da crise dos incêndios de 2019 (Lizundia-Loiola, Pettinari, & Chuvieco, 2020;Silveira, et al, 2020). Estudos de simulação do desmatamento em Rondônia indicam que o estado poderá ter, em 2050, até 47% do seu território ocupado por áreas de florestas convertido em áreas desflorestadas, incluindo as áreas protegidas (Piontekowski, et al, 2019).…”
Section: Introductionunclassified