INVESTIGATION AND EVALUATION OF STONE PINE ( Pinus pinea L.) CURRENT AND FUTURE POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE IN TURKEY

Akyol, Ayhan; Örücü, Ömer K.

doi:10.1590/01047760201925042643

Cited by 23 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 45 publications

(42 reference statements)

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“…Further, Natalini et al (2016) suggested that the Pinus pinea species has a plastic response to warmer and drier climates that can vary among populations, and some measure of such variability should be considered in long-term forecasts of vegetation dynamics. Akyol & Orucu (2019) found that the most important bioclimatic variables affecting the potential distribution of P. pinea are the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6), annual precipitation (Bio12), and precipitation of the wettest quarter (Bio16); whereas, Serra Varela (2018) found that annual mean temperature (Bio1), temperature seasonality (Bio4), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio 18), and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio 19) are the main drivers of stone pine distribution. Simulation models under two different future climate change scenarios predicted that P. Pinea will lose suitable habitats and will shift toward northern and higher elevation sites.…”

Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Simulation models under two different future climate change scenarios predicted that P. Pinea will lose suitable habitats and will shift toward northern and higher elevation sites. For example, Akyol & Orucu (2019) showed that P. pinea in Turkey will shift its geographical distribution in the future and experience losses of habitat, particularly in the western and southern parts of Turkey. According to Akyol & Orucu (2019), the potential distribution of P. pinea in the years 2050 and 2070 will decrease under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios.…”

Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, Akyol & Orucu (2019) showed that P. pinea in Turkey will shift its geographical distribution in the future and experience losses of habitat, particularly in the western and southern parts of Turkey. According to Akyol & Orucu (2019), the potential distribution of P. pinea in the years 2050 and 2070 will decrease under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Pecchi et al (2020) reported that by 2050 under RCP 4.5 scenario, the spatial distribution of suitable habitats for stone pine pure stands will significantly decrease in Italy compared to other hardwood species.…”

Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The study of current and future potential distribution of suitable habitats for stone pine under climate change is critical (Akyol & Orucu 2019). It is well known that climate plays a determining role in the large-scale distribution of species (Guisan & Thuiller 2005).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Climate change impacts on spatial distribution, tree-ring growth, and water use of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) forests in the Mediterranean region and silvicultural practices to limit those impacts

Mechergui¹,

Altamimi²,

Jaouadi³

et al. 2021

iForest

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Biogeosciences and Forestry Biogeosciences and Forestry Climate change impacts on spatial distribution, tree-ring growth, and water use of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) forests in the Mediterranean region and silvicultural practices to limit those impacts Kaouther Mechergui (1-2) , Amal Saleh Altamimi (3) , Wahbi Jaouadi (1-2) , Souheila Naghmouchi (2) Stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) has been cultivated since centuries in Mediterranean areas for its products and economic benefits, including edible pine nuts, timber, mushrooms, firewood, and grazing. However, current management objectives of stone pine stands also include recreational use, biodiversity conservation, protection from soil erosion, and CO2 fixation. Stone pine stands are considered to be among the ecosystems most vulnerable to climate change, and the current increase in drought frequency in the Mediterranean Basin has been shown to negatively impact their long-term establishment. Understanding the effects of climate change on the distribution, tree-ring growth and water use of stone pine forests can help assessing the adaptive capacity of the species, and developing management programs aimed at its conservation. This paper reviews the impacts of climate change on stone pine in the Mediterranean region. The high sensitivity of stone pine to climate change has been widely demonstrated in that: (i) climatic models predict the loss of suitable habitats and the shift of its geographical distribution in the next future; (ii) tree-ring analysis showed that winter and spring rainfalls have positive effects on growth, whereas high spring temperature has a negative effect; (iii) the strategy of stone pine to cope with water deficit affects the processes regulating its growth, including wood formation, leading to peculiar tree-ring anatomical features such as intra-annual density fluctuations. The silvicultural interventions and the most effective management strategies for stone pine forests are reviewed and discussed in the context of current climate change in the Mediterranean Basin.

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Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Iforest -Biogeosciences and Forestrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Climate change impacts on spatial distribution, tree-ring growth, and water use of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) forests in the Mediterranean region and silvicultural practices to limit those impacts

Mechergui¹,

Altamimi²,

Jaouadi³

et al. 2021

iForest

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show abstract

“…MaxEnt is a software that predicts the distribution of species using by habitats feature and maximum entropy algorithm (Phillips et al, 2017). MaxEnt has been used in recent years to reveal how climate change affects species distribution (Handrick and McGarvey, 2019;Akyol and Örücü, 2019;Mahdavi et al, 2020;Qian et al, 2020). MaxEnt is also a practicable and valid method for all species (Untalan et al, 2019).…”

Section: Climatic Habitat Suitability (Climate Envelope Model) Models and Mapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential distribution of two lynx species in europe under paleoclimatological scenarios and anthropogenic climate change scenarios

Kiraç

2021

CERNE

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Background: Today's European fauna was formed under the influence of Paleoclimatic change. The distribution of two wild cat species of Europe, Lynx pardinus and Lynx lynx, 22,000 and 6,000 years ago were determined by the MaxEnt method in relation to the Paleoclimatological scenarios (LGM and Mid-Holocene) and fossil records. Then, the current climate conditions and their distributions under the effect of anthropogenic climate change scenarios were analyzed with the current existence records.Results: It was determined that these two wild cats were distributed according to preys on which they specialized, rather than the climate change that lasted for thousands of years. It was observed that Lynx Pardinus, which specialized only on European rabbit hunting, could not expand its distribution from past to present. Lynx lynx, on the other hand, expanded its distribution throughout the Palearctic region and adapted to different ecosystem varieties by means of its specialization on many preys from mouse to moose. Based on the climate envelope model results created with the help of MaxEnt which considers anthropogenic climate change scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 2070) and today's data of two existing Lynx species, suitable habitats for L. pardinus will decrease and suitable habitats will emerge in Western France. L. lynx, on the other hand, will limit its wide distribution to the North, except for the Alps, the Carpathians and the Caucasus, which will serve as refugial areas. Conclusion:These results therefore require that measurements such as reducing climate change impacts over the next 50 years, protecting existing and potential habitats in advance, and reducing anthropogenic impact should be enforced..

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Identifying the suitable habitats for Anatolian boxwood (Buxus sempervirens L.) for the future regarding the climate change

Varol

Canturk

Çetin

et al. 2022

Theor Appl Climatol

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INVESTIGATION AND EVALUATION OF STONE PINE ( Pinus pinea L.) CURRENT AND FUTURE POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE IN TURKEY

Cited by 23 publications

References 45 publications

Climate change impacts on spatial distribution, tree-ring growth, and water use of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) forests in the Mediterranean region and silvicultural practices to limit those impacts

Climate change impacts on spatial distribution, tree-ring growth, and water use of stone pine (Pinus pinea L.) forests in the Mediterranean region and silvicultural practices to limit those impacts

Potential distribution of two lynx species in europe under paleoclimatological scenarios and anthropogenic climate change scenarios

Identifying the suitable habitats for Anatolian boxwood (Buxus sempervirens L.) for the future regarding the climate change

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