2008
DOI: 10.1126/science.1151861
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Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change

Abstract: Most prior studies have found that substituting biofuels for gasoline will reduce greenhouse gases because biofuels sequester carbon through the growth of the feedstock. These analyses have failed to count the carbon emissions that occur as farmers worldwide respond to higher prices and convert forest and grassland to new cropland to replace the grain (or cropland) diverted to biofuels. By using a worldwide agricultural model to estimate emissions from land-use change, we found that corn-based ethanol, instead… Show more

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Cited by 3,946 publications
(2,763 citation statements)
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“…At a global level, the evidence base has been provided by the IPCC reports (IPCC, 2007a and2007b), but the assumptions made for agriculture at a global level (a closed system) will not hold at a national level, where the farming industry consists of a large number of small-to medium-sized businesses whose carbon emissions will depend both on the natural resources available and their response to technology and markets, with varying levels of imports and exports over time. The volatility of those markets was demonstrated in 2008, when increasing competition for agricultural land between food and non-food uses was highlighted (Searchinger et al, 2008). This has consequences for the evidence base required by the policy community, who increasingly have to balance the need to address climate change with the need to maintain food security.…”
Section: Introduction: the Need To Mitigate Climate Changementioning
confidence: 99%
“…At a global level, the evidence base has been provided by the IPCC reports (IPCC, 2007a and2007b), but the assumptions made for agriculture at a global level (a closed system) will not hold at a national level, where the farming industry consists of a large number of small-to medium-sized businesses whose carbon emissions will depend both on the natural resources available and their response to technology and markets, with varying levels of imports and exports over time. The volatility of those markets was demonstrated in 2008, when increasing competition for agricultural land between food and non-food uses was highlighted (Searchinger et al, 2008). This has consequences for the evidence base required by the policy community, who increasingly have to balance the need to address climate change with the need to maintain food security.…”
Section: Introduction: the Need To Mitigate Climate Changementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The impact on food prices could be serious (Clayton, 2008). The negative impacts of the crop-based approach are becoming evident (Clayton, 2008;Rosenthal, 2008;Searchinger et al, 2008). A simple computation illustrates the scale problem using crop-based ethanol.…”
Section: Biomass Options That Cannot Attain Large Enough Scalementioning
confidence: 99%
“…En Europe, les études régionales plus détaillées s'accordent sur le fait que le développement des biocarburants de 1ère génération pourra difficilement aller au-delà des 5,75% d'incorporation (Wiesenthal et al, 2006). Il pourrait de plus entraîner la mise sous culture d'écosystèmes naturels (forêts, savanes) ou de prairies permanentes -des conséquences difficile à prévoir et à prévenir, mais qui grèveraient fortement le bilan des biocarburants en termes d'émissions de GES (Searchinger et al, 2008). …”
Section: Disponibilité De La Ressourceunclassified
“…En revanche, la substitution des mêmes céréales par des cultures lignocellulosiques (pour les biocarburants 2ème génération) devrait permettre de réduire de façon substantielle la pression agricole sur l'environnement local. On peut toutefois craindre que la compensation nécessaire au niveau de la production alimentaire, qui aura lieu ailleurs sur la planète, risque elle d'y aggraver l'environnement local (Searchinger et al, 2008). D'où la nécessité de traiter la question des impacts locaux..au niveau global!…”
Section: Bilans éNergétiques Et Environnementauxunclassified