Due to the nonlinear modeling capabilities, deep learning prediction networks have become widely used for smart agriculture. Because the sensing data has noise and complex nonlinearity, it is still an open topic to improve its performance. This paper proposes a Reversible Automatic Selection Normalization (RASN) network, integrating the normalization and renormalization layer to evaluate and select the normalization module of the prediction model. The prediction accuracy has been improved effectively by scaling and translating the input with learnable parameters. The application results of the prediction show that the model has good prediction ability and adaptability for the greenhouse in the Smart Agriculture System.
Compared with mechanism-based modeling methods, data-driven modeling based on big data has become a popular research field in recent years because of its applicability. However, it is not always better to have more data when building a forecasting model in practical areas. Due to the noise and conflict, redundancy, and inconsistency of big time-series data, the forecasting accuracy may reduce on the contrary. This paper proposes a deep network by selecting and understanding data to improve performance. Firstly, a data self-screening layer (DSSL) with a maximal information distance coefficient (MIDC) is designed to filter input data with high correlation and low redundancy; then, a variational Bayesian gated recurrent unit (VBGRU) is used to improve the anti-noise ability and robustness of the model. Beijing’s air quality and meteorological data are conducted in a verification experiment of 24 h PM2.5 concentration forecasting, proving that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy.
Air pollution (mainly PM2.5) is one of the main environmental problems about air quality. Air pollution prediction and early warning is a prerequisite for air pollution prevention and control. However, it is not easy to accurately predict the long-term trend because the collected PM2.5 data have complex nonlinearity with multiple components of different frequency characteristics. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning predictor, in which the PM2.5 data are decomposed into components by empirical mode decomposition (EMD) firstly, and a convolutional neural network (CNN) is built to classify all the components into a fixed number of groups based on the frequency characteristics. Then, a gated-recurrent-unit (GRU) network is trained for each group as the sub-predictor, and the results from the three GRUs are fused to obtain the prediction result. Experiments based on the PM2.5 data from Beijing verify the proposed model, and the prediction results show that the decomposition and classification can develop the accuracy of the proposed predictor for air pollution prediction greatly.
Prediction based on time series has a wide range of applications. Due to the complex nonlinear and random distribution of time series data, the performance of learning prediction models can be reduced by the modeling bias or overfitting. This paper proposes a novel planar flow-based variational auto-encoder prediction model (PFVAE), which uses the long- and short-term memory network (LSTM) as the auto-encoder and designs the variational auto-encoder (VAE) as a time series data predictor to overcome the noise effects. In addition, the internal structure of VAE is transformed using planar flow, which enables it to learn and fit the nonlinearity of time series data and improve the dynamic adaptability of the network. The prediction experiments verify that the proposed model is superior to other models regarding prediction accuracy and proves it is effective for predicting time series data.
Short-term electrical load forecasting plays an important role in the safety, stability, and sustainability of the power production and scheduling process. An accurate prediction of power load can provide a reliable decision for power system management. To solve the limitation of the existing load forecasting methods in dealing with time-series data, causing the poor stability and non-ideal forecasting accuracy, this paper proposed an attention-based encoder-decoder network with Bayesian optimization to do the accurate short-term power load forecasting. Proposed model is based on an encoder-decoder architecture with a gated recurrent units (GRU) recurrent neural network with high robustness on time-series data modeling. The temporal attention layer focuses on the key features of input data that play a vital role in promoting the prediction accuracy for load forecasting. Finally, the Bayesian optimization method is used to confirm the model’s hyperparameters to achieve optimal predictions. The verification experiments of 24 h load forecasting with real power load data from American Electric Power (AEP) show that the proposed model outperforms other models in terms of prediction accuracy and algorithm stability, providing an effective approach for migrating time-serial power load prediction by deep-learning technology.
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