The effects of sea lice on the marine survival of wild salmonids are widely debated. In Norway this debate has reached a crescendo as the Norwegian government has recently ratified a management system where the growth in the salmonid aquaculture industry will be conditional on regional estimated impact of salmon lice on wild fish. Sea lice have thus become the most prominent obstacle to the stated political aim of quintupling aquaculture production in Norway by 2050. Scientific documentation that salmon lice impact the marine survival of salmon is robust. However, it is also evident that marine survival of salmon is strongly impacted by other factors, and that the effect of salmon lice is most likely an integral part of these other mortality factors. In this paper, our goal is to discuss and give advice on how managers and policy makers should handle this complexity, and to identify the greatest challenges in using scientific results to construct robust management rules. Inadequate extrapolation from the scale of known effects to the scale of management implementation may initially give a false impression of scientific certainty, but will eventually fuel upsetting disagreements among stakeholders as they gradually uncover the shaky foundation of the implemented policy. Thus, using a single model and parameter to determine management advice is not warranted, as no single data point reflects the natural complexity of nature. Furthermore, robust management rules should be based on unambiguous definitions of key concepts. Finally, despite the scientific consensus that salmon lice are a risk to salmon, studies on wild populations in situ that accurately quantify the impact of salmon lice are still urgently needed. We give advice on how this can be accomplished.

Anthropogenic barriers to fish passage, such as culverts and dams, are major factors impeding the persistence and recovery of aquatic species. Considerable work has focused on mitigating these impacts; however, activities associated with measuring and restoring connectivity of aquatic ecosystems often face challenges in determining the passability of barriers by aquatic species. Hydrological modeling software that incorporates biological aspects of a focal species is often used as a relatively inexpensive method for assessing barrier passability for restoration decisions. However, the biological relevance of these approaches remains to be rigorously tested. We assessed passage rates of PIT‐tagged Brook Trout Salvelinus fontinalis through four road culverts and adjacent reference sites (unaltered areas of the streams) on the island of Newfoundland to determine whether upstream passage through road culverts was more restrictive than unaltered reference areas of the stream. Next, we examined the usefulness of barrier passability predictions derived from FishXing software by comparing them with in situ movement data for this species. Brook Trout passage for three of the four reference sites had a significantly higher range of passable stream flows compared with that for culverts, indicating the presence of velocity barriers in culverts. However, FishXing predictions of suitable fish passage discharges were conservative, and tagged fish successfully navigated partial barriers that were at least 2–3 times the upper limits of stream flow predicted to allow successful passage. The results of our study show a clear need for an improved understanding of fish movement through these structures so that barrier assessment techniques can be refined. The implications of not doing so may lead to restoration actions that result in limited biological benefit.

Wildfire is a common natural disturbance that can influence stream ecosystems. Of particular concern are increases in water temperature during and following fires, but studies of these phenomena are uncommon. We examined effects of wildfires in 2000 on maximum water temperature for a suite of second- to fourth-order streams with a range of burn severities in the Bitterroot River basin, Montana. Despite many sites burning at high severity, there were no apparent increases in maximum water temperature during the fires. One month after fire and in the subsequent year, increases in maximum water temperatures at sites within burns were 1.4–2.2°C greater than those at reference sites, with the greatest differences in July and August. Maximum temperature changes at sites >1.7 km downstream from burns did not differ from those at reference sites. Seven years after the fires, there was no evidence that maximum stream temperatures were returning to pre-fire norms. Temperature increases in these relatively large streams are likely to be long-lasting and exacerbated by climate change. These combined effects may alter the distribution of thermally sensitive aquatic species.

To be able to design effective management to alleviate wild fish from parasite infestation pressure from fish farms, it is pivotal to understand when post-smolts migrate past areas of potential exposure to salmon lice Lepeophtheirus salmonis. Here, data from release groups of coded-wire-tagged Atlantic salmon Salmo salar smolts and their subsequent recaptures in a trap net in the outer fjord 12 to 97 km from the various release sites were used to estimate the smolts' progression rate and their arrival time in an outer fjord in Norway. The arrival time estimates to the outer fjord are compared with modelled infestation pressure from local fish farms. The overall progression rate varied from 0.8 to 31.2 km d −1 (0.05 to 2.20 body lengths s −1 ), with mean and median values of 8.8 and 7.8 km d −1 , respectively (0.60 and 0.54 body lengths s −1 ). The progression rate varied with water discharge from the rivers into the fjords, fish length, condition factor and smolt origin. Simulated arrival time and capture of wild smolts suggest that smolts from the different rivers arrive in the outer fjord system with a difference of up to 4 wk. The arrival time for the rivers with the longest migration was estimated to be from mid-May throughout June. Infestation pressure from fish farms increased from the beginning of June in 2 of 3 study years, suggesting that an increase in lice exposure from fish farms will overlap with smolts from late-migrating populations in some but not all years.

Walleye Sander vitreus and Yellow Perch Perca flavescens are culturally, economically, and ecologically significant fish species in North America that are affected by drivers of global change. Here, we review and synthesize the published literature documenting the effects of ecosystem changes on Walleye and Yellow Perch. We focus on four drivers: climate (including temperature and precipitation), aquatic invasive species, land use and nutrient loading, and water clarity. We identified 1,232 tests from 370 papers, split evenly between Walleye (n = 613) and Yellow Perch (n = 619). Climate was the most frequently studied driver (n = 572), and growth or condition was the most frequently studied response (n = 297). The most commonly reported relationship was "no effect" (42% of analyses), usually because multiple variables were tested and only a few were found to be significant. Overall responses varied among studies for most species-response-driver combinations. For example, the influence of invasive species on growth of both Walleye and Yellow Perch was approximately equally likely to be positive, negative, or have no effect. Even when results were variable, important patterns emerged; for example, growth responses of both species to temperature were variable, but very few negative responses were observed. A few relationships were relatively consistent across studies. Invasive species were negatively associated with Walleye recruitment and abundance, and higher water clarity was negatively associated with Walleye abundance, biomass, and production. Some variability in responses may be due to differences in methodology or the range of variables studied; others represent true context dependence, where the effect of a driver depends on the influence of other variables. Using common metrics of impact, publishing negative results, and robust analytical approaches could facilitate comparisons among systems and provide a more comprehensive understanding of the responses of Walleye and Yellow Perch to ecosystem change.