Background/Aims: The utility of Baveno-VII criteria of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) to predict decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patient needs validation. We aim to validate the performance of CSPH criteria to predict the risk of decompensation in an international real-world cohort of cACLD patients.Methods: cACLD patients were stratified into three categories (CSPH excluded, grey zone, and CSPH). The risks of decompensation across different CSPH categories were estimated using competing risk regression for clustered data, with death and hepatocellular carcinoma as competing events. The performance of “treating definite CSPH” strategy to prevent decompensation using non-selective beta-blocker (NSBB) was compared against other strategies in decision curve analysis.Results: One thousand one hundred fifty-nine cACLD patients (36.8% had CSPH) were included; 7.2% experienced decompensation over a median follow-up of 40 months. Non-invasive assessment of CSPH predicts a 5-fold higher risk of liver decompensation in cACLD patients (subdistribution hazard ratio, 5.5; 95% confidence interval, 4.0–7.4). “Probable CSPH” is suboptimal to predict decompensation risk in cACLD patients. CSPH exclusion criteria reliably exclude cACLD patients at risk of decompensation, regardless of etiology. Among the grey zone, the decompensation risk was negligible among viral-related cACLD, but was substantially higher among the non-viral cACLD group. Decision curve analysis showed that “treating definite CSPH” strategy is superior to “treating all varices” or “treating probable CSPH” strategy to prevent decompensation using NSBB.Conclusions: Non-invasive assessment of CSPH may stratify decompensation risk and the need for NSBB in cACLD patients.
Background/Aims: Multiple definitions of sarcopenia exist and the acceptable criterion that best predicts outcome is lacking. We estimated the prevalence of sarcopenia based on four criteria and assessed their utility in predicting mortality in cirrhotics. Methods: In a prospective observational study, consecutive Asian patients with cirrhosis underwent testing for handgrip strength (HGS) and estimation of skeletal muscle index (SMI) using computed tomography at the third lumbar vertebra. Sarcopenia was defined based on the Western cutoff (WC; SMI < 50 cm 2 /m 2 for men and <39 cm 2 /m 2 for women), Asian cut-off (AC; SMI < 36.5 cm 2 /m 2 for men and 30.2 cm 2 /m 2 for women), European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People-2nd meeting (EWGSOP2) definition incorporating low HGS (<27 kg for men and <16 kg for women) with low SMI (defined by the WC), and EWGSOP2 definition with low HGS and low SMI (defined by AC). Risk factors for mortality were assessed using multivariate Cox-proportional hazards. Results: We included 219 patients with cirrhosis (168 men; mean age 42.6 years) with 50.2% patients having decompensation. Alcohol was the commonest aetiology (33.3%). The prevalence of sarcopenia was highest with the WC (men: 82.1%; women: 62.7%). There was a weak concordance among all criteria (Fleiss' kappa 0.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.10-0.37). Overall, 12month survival was 86.1% (81.1-91.3%) over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 12 (6-15) months. Ascites (hazards ratio [HR] 6.27 [95% CI 1.6-24.1]; P < 0.007) and SMI (HR 0.92 [0.85-0.98]; P = 0.021) were independent predictors of mortality. The 12-month mortality rate was higher in patients with sarcopenia, irrespective of criteria (log rank P < 0.05). Low HGS and low SMI (defined by AC) was the best for predicting mortality ; P = 0.004). Conclusion: A weak concordance exists amongst various diagnostic definitions of sarcopenia. Sarcopenia diagnosed by a combination of low HGS and population-specific SMI cut-off (AC) best predicts mortality.
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