Key Points Question Is the net ultrafiltration (ie, fluid removal) rate associated with survival among critically ill patients with acute kidney injury? Findings In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial involving 1434 critically ill patients treated with continuous venovenous hemodiafiltration, a net ultrafiltration rate greater than 1.75 mL/kg/h compared with a net ultrafiltration rate less than 1.01 mL/kg/h was significantly associated with lower 90-day risk-adjusted survival. Meaning Among critically ill patients with acute kidney injury being treated with continuous venovenous hemodiafiltration, net ultrafiltration rates greater than 1.75 mL/kg/h were associated with increased mortality.
BackgroundAlthough net ultrafiltration (UFNET) is frequently used for treatment of fluid overload in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury, the optimal intensity of UFNET is unclear. Among critically ill patients with fluid overload receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT), we examined the association between UFNET intensity and risk-adjusted 1-year mortality.MethodsWe selected patients with fluid overload ≥ 5% of body weight prior to initiation of RRT from a large academic medical center ICU dataset. UFNET intensity was calculated as the net volume of fluid ultrafiltered per day from initiation of either continuous or intermittent RRT until the end of ICU stay adjusted for patient hospital admission body weight. We stratified UFNET as low (≤ 20 ml/kg/day), moderate (> 20 to ≤ 25 ml/kg/day) or high (> 25 ml/kg/day) intensity. We adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, race, surgery, baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, oliguria, first RRT modality, pre-RRT fluid balance, duration of RRT, time to RRT initiation from ICU admission, APACHE III score, mechanical ventilation use, suspected sepsis, mean arterial pressure on day 1 of RRT, cumulative fluid balance during RRT and cumulative vasopressor dose during RRT. We fitted logistic regression for 1-year mortality, Gray’s survival model and propensity matching to account for indication bias.ResultsOf 1075 patients, the distribution of high, moderate and low-intensity UFNET groups was 40.4%, 15.2% and 44.2% and 1-year mortality was 59.4% vs 60.2% vs 69.7%, respectively (p = 0.003). Using logistic regression, high-intensity compared with low-intensity UFNET was associated with lower mortality (adjusted odds ratio 0.61, 95% CI 0.41–0.93, p = 0.02). Using Gray’s model, high UFNET was associated with decreased mortality up to 39 days after ICU admission (adjusted hazard ratio range 0.50–0.73). After combining low and moderate-intensity UFNET groups (n = 258) and propensity matching with the high-intensity group (n = 258), UFNET intensity > 25 ml/kg/day compared with ≤ 25 ml/kg/day was associated with lower mortality (57% vs 67.8%, p = 0.01). Findings were robust to several sensitivity analyses.ConclusionsAmong critically ill patients with ≥ 5% fluid overload and receiving RRT, UFNET intensity > 25 ml/kg/day compared with ≤ 20 ml/kg/day was associated with lower 1-year risk-adjusted mortality. Whether tolerating intensive UFNET is just a marker for recovery or a mediator requires further research.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1186/s13054-018-2163-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
SignificanceAmericans can expect to experience at least one meaningful diagnostic medical error in their lifetime. One plausible source of those errors is physicians’ reliance on heuristics that are generally useful but can fail in diagnostically challenging situations. Based on previous research and clinical experience, we identified heuristics that might cause diagnostic errors in trauma triage. We sought to improve physicians’ heuristic judgment by providing simulated experience with two “serious” video games. In a randomized controlled trial, both games had positive effects, whereas equivalent exposure to traditional medical education had none. By complementing physicians’ natural ways of thinking, such simulated experiences might transfer to actual triage and other high-pressure decisions.
<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Higher net ultrafiltration (UF<sub>NET</sub>) rates are associated with mortality among critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) and treated with continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). <b><i>Objective:</i></b> The aim of the study was to discover whether UF<sub>NET</sub> rates are associated with renal recovery and independence from renal replacement therapy (RRT). <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Retrospective cohort study using data from the Randomized Evaluation of Normal versus Augmented Level of Renal Replacement Therapy trial that enrolled 1,433 critically ill patients with AKI and treated with CRRT between December 2005 and November 2008 across 35 intensive care units in Australia and New Zealand. We examined the association between UF<sub>NET</sub> rate and time to independence from RRT by day 90 using competing risk regression after accounting for mortality. The UF<sub>NET</sub> rate was defined as the volume of fluid removed per hour adjusted for patient body weight. <b><i>Results and Conclusions:</i></b> Median age was 67.3 (interquartile range [IQR], 57–76.3) years, 64.4% were male, median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-III score was 100 (IQR, 84–118), and 634 (44.2%) died by day 90. Kidney recovery occurred in 755 patients (52.7%). Using tertiles of UF<sub>NET</sub> rates, 3 groups were defined: high, >1.75; middle, 1.01–1.75; and low, <1.01 mL/kg/h. Proportion of patients alive and independent of RRT among the groups were 47.8 versus 57.2 versus 53.0%; <i>p</i> = 0.01. Using competing risk regression, higher UF<sub>NET</sub> rate tertile compared with middle (cause-specific hazard ratio [csHR], 0.79, 95% CI, 0.66–0.95; subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 0.80, 95% CI, 0.67–0.97) and lower (csHR, 0.69, 95% CI, 0.56–0.85; sHR, 0.78, 95% CI 0.64–0.95) tertiles were associated with a longer time to independence from RRT. Every 1.0 mL/kg/h increase in rate was associated with a lower probability of kidney recovery (csHR, 0.81, 95% CI, 0.74–0.89; and sHR, 0.87, 95% CI, 0.80–0.95). Using the joint model, longitudinal increases in UF<sub>NET</sub> rates were also associated with a lower renal recovery (β = −0.29, <i>p</i> < 0.001). UF<sub>NET</sub> rates >1.75 mL/kg/h compared with rates 1.01–1.75 and <1.01 mL/kg/h were associated with a longer duration of dependence on RRT. Randomized clinical trials are required to confirm this UF<sub>NET</sub> rate-outcome relationship.
BackgroundClinical and biologic phenotypes of sepsis are proposed in human studies, yet it is unknown whether prognostic or drug response phenotypes are present in animal models of sepsis. Using a biotelemetry-enhanced, murine cecal ligation and puncture (CLP) model, we determined phenotypes of polymicrobial sepsis prior to physiologic deterioration, and the association between phenotypes and outcome in a randomized trial of prompt or delayed antibiotics and fluids.MethodsWe performed a secondary analysis of male C57BL/6J mice in two observational cohorts and two randomized, laboratory animal experimental trials. In cohort 1, mice (n = 118) underwent biotelemetry-enhanced CLP, and we applied latent class mixed models to determine optimal number of phenotypes using clinical data collected between injury and physiologic deterioration. In cohort 2 (N = 73 mice), inflammatory cytokines measured at 24 h after deterioration were explored by phenotype. In a subset of 46 mice enrolled in two trials from cohort 1, we tested the association of phenotypes with the response to immediate (0 h) vs. delayed (2 to 4 h) antibiotics or fluids initiated after physiologic deterioration.ResultsLatent class mixture modeling derived a two-class model in cohort 1. Class 2 (N = 97) demonstrated a shorter time to deterioration (mean SD 7.3 (0.9) vs. 9.7 (3.2) h, p < 0.001) and lower heart rate at 7 h after injury (mean (SD) 564 (55) vs. 626 (35) beats per minute, p < 0.001). Overall mortality was similar between phenotypes (p = 0.75). In cohort 2 used for biomarker measurement, class 2 mice had greater plasma concentrations of IL6 and IL10 at 24 h after CLP (p = 0.05). In pilot randomized trials, the effects of sepsis treatment (immediate vs. delayed antibiotics) differed by phenotype (p = 0.03), with immediate treatment associated with greater survival in class 2 mice only. Similar differential treatment effect by class was observed in the trial of immediate vs. delayed fluids (p = 0.02).ConclusionsWe identified two sepsis phenotypes in a murine cecal ligation and puncture model, one of which is characterized by faster deterioration and more severe inflammation. Response to treatment in a randomized trial of immediate versus delayed antibiotics and fluids differed on the basis of phenotype.
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