With the increasing incidence of diabetic retinopathy and its improved detection, there is increased demand for diabetic retinopathy treatment services. Prognostic prediction models have been used to optimise services but these were intended for early detection of sight-threatening retinopathy and are mostly used in diabetic retinopathy screening services. We wanted to look into the predictive ability and applicability of the existing models for the higher-risk patients referred into hospitals. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, COCHRANE CENTRAL, conference abstracts and reference lists of included publications for studies of any design using search terms related to diabetes, diabetic retinopathy and prognostic models. Search results were screened for relevance to the review question. Included studies had data extracted on model characteristics, predictive ability and validation. They were assessed for quality using criteria specified by PROBAST and CHARMS checklists, independently by two reviewers. Twenty-two articles reporting on 14 prognostic models (including four updates) met the selection criteria. Eleven models had internal validation, eight had external validation and one had neither. Discriminative ability with c-statistics ranged from 0.57 to 0.91. Studies ranged from low to high risk of bias, mostly due to the need for external validation or missing data. Participants, outcomes, predictors handling and modelling methods varied. Most models focussed on lower-risk patients, the majority had high risk of bias and doubtful applicability, but three models had some applicability for higher-risk patients. However, these models will also need updating and external validation in multiple hospital settings before being implemented into clinical practice.

Objectives: To report the first case of Arthrographis kalrae keratitis complicated by endophthalmitis in the UK and to review the current literature. Methods: A case report with literature review. Results: A 65-year-old male patient, with a background of treated B-cell lymphoma and herpes simplex virus-related neurotrophic keratopathy, presented with a large infiltrative corneal ulcer in the right eye. The patient was immediately commenced on empirical antifungal treatment in view of the clinical suspicion of fungal keratitis (FK). The initial corneal scrape identified the organism as nonspecific “mold,” and the identity of A. kalrae was subsequently confirmed using matrix-assisted laser/desorption ionization-time of flight-mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF-MS). During the clinical course, the patient received topical, intrastromal, intracameral, and systemic antifungal treatment, repeat therapeutic corneal cross-linking treatment, and three penetrating keratoplasties. Although a temporary improvement was achieved with therapeutic corneal cross-linking treatment, the FK progressed relentlessly and was ultimately complicated by an endophthalmitis despite maximum medical and surgical treatment, eventuating in an enucleation. Conclusions: A. kalrae keratitis is an exceptionally rare clinical entity that poses significant therapeutic challenges. MALDI-TOF-MS serves as a useful diagnostic technique in identifying this rare organism. Although the literature suggested that A. kalrae keratitis may sometimes be controlled with antifungal medical treatment alone, this approach was proven to be futile in our immunocompromised patient with pre-existing neurotrophic keratopathy, suggesting that early surgical intervention such as therapeutic keratoplasty may be required in these cases.