Methods and results are presented for applying supervised machine learning techniques to the task of predicting the need for repairs of air compressors in commercial trucks and buses. Prediction models are derived from logged on-board data that are downloaded during workshop visits and have been collected over three years on large number of vehicles. A number of issues are identified with the data sources, many of which originate from the fact that the data sources were not designed for data mining. Nevertheless, exploiting this available data is very important for the automotive industry as means to quickly introduce predictive maintenance solutions. It is shown on a large data set from heavy duty trucks in normal operation how this can be done and generate a profit.Random forest is used as the classifier algorithm, together with two methods for feature selection whose results are compared to a human expert. The machine learning based features outperform the human expert features, wich supports the idea to use data mining to improve maintenance operations in this domain.
An approach for intelligent monitoring of mobile cyberphysical systems is described, based on consensus among distributed self-organised agents. Its usefulness is experimentally demonstrated over a long-time case study in an example domain: a fleet of city buses. The proposed solution combines several techniques, allowing for life-long learning under computational and communication constraints. The presented work is a step towards autonomous knowledge discovery in a domain where data volumes are increasing, the complexity of systems is growing, and dedicating human experts to build fault detection and diagnostic models for all possible faults is not economically viable. The embedded, self-organised agents operate on-board the 123Self-monitoring for maintenance of vehicle fleets 345 cyberphysical systems, modelling their states and communicating them wirelessly to a back-office application. Those models are subsequently compared against each other to find systems which deviate from the consensus. In this way the group (e.g., a fleet of vehicles) is used to provide a standard, or to describe normal behaviour, together with its expected variability under particular operating conditions. The intention is to detect faults without the need for human experts to anticipate them beforehand. This can be used to build up a knowledge base that accumulates over the life-time of the systems. The approach is demonstrated using data collected during regular operation of a city bus fleet over the period of almost 4 years.
It is difficult to implement predictive maintenance in the automotive industry as it looks today, since the sensor capabilities and engineering effort available for diagnostic purposes is limited. It is, in practice, impossible to develop diagnostic algorithms capable of detecting many different kinds of faults that would be applicable to a wide range of vehicle configurations and usage patterns.However, it is now becoming feasible to obtain and analyse on-board data on vehicles as they are being used. It makes automatic data-mining methods an attractive alternative, since they are capable of adapting themselves to specific vehicle configurations and usage. In order to be useful, though, such methods need to be able to detect interesting relations between large number of available signal. This paper presents an unsupervised method for discovering useful relations between measured signals in a Volvo truck, both during normal operations and when a fault has occurred. The interesting relationships are found in a twostep procedure. In the first step, we identify a set of "good" models, by establishing an MSE threshold over the complete data set. In the second step, we estimate model parameters over time, in order to capture the dynamic behaviour of the system. We use two different approaches here, the LASSO method and the Recursive Least Squares filter. The usefulness of obtained relations is then evaluated using supervised learning to separate different classes of faults.
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