BackgroundCase-control studies typically exclude fatal endpoints from the case set, which we hypothesize will substantially underestimate risk if survival is genotype-dependent. The loss of fatal cases is particularly nontrivial for studies of coronary heart disease (CHD) because of significantly reduced survival (34% one-year fatality following a coronary attack). A case in point is the KIF6 Trp719Arg polymorphism (rs20455). Whereas six prospective studies have shown that carriers of the KIF6 Trp719Arg risk allele have 20% to 50% greater CHD risk than non-carriers, several cross-sectional case-control studies failed to show that carrier status is related to CHD. Computer simulations were therefore employed to assess the impact of the loss of fatal events on gene associations in cross-sectional case-control studies, using KIF6 Trp719Arg as an example.ResultsTen replicates of 1,000,000 observations each were generated reflecting Canadian demographics. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks were assigned by the Framingham equation and events distributed among KIF6 Trp719Arg genotypes according to published prospective studies. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratios between KIF6 genotypes. Results were examined for 33%, 41.5%, and 50% fatality rates for incident CVD.In the absence of any difference in percent fatalities between genotypes, the odds ratios (carriers vs. noncarriers) were unaffected by survival bias, otherwise the odds ratios were increasingly attenuated as the disparity between fatality rates increased between genotypes. Additional simulations demonstrated that statin usage, shown in four clinical trials to substantially reduce the excess CHD risk in the KIF6 719Arg variant, should also attenuate the KIF6 719Arg odds ratio in case-control studies.ConclusionsThese computer simulations show that exclusions of prior CHD fatalities attenuate odds ratios of case-control studies in proportion to the difference in the percent fatalities between genotypes. Disproportionate CHD survival for KIF6 Trip719Arg carriers is suggested by their 50% greater risk for recurrent myocardial infarction. This, and the attenuation of KIF6 719Arg carrier risk with statin use, may explain the genotype's weak association with CHD in cross-sectional case-control studies. The results may be relevant to the underestimation of risk in cross-sectional case-control studies of other genetic CHD-risk factors affecting survival.
Aim: To assess the association between the CETP Taq1B and I405V polymorphisms with levels of lipoprotein subclasses in African–American (AA) men with and without Type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Patients & methods: AA men, over 30 years of age, with (n = 54) or without T2DM (n = 50), and not receiving lipid-lowering agents, underwent advanced lipid analysis and genotyping. Results & conclusion: In the total patient population Taq1B B2-allele carriers had significantly higher levels of large HDL subclasses (HDL-2b [p = 0.017] and HDL-L [p = 0.019]), lower levels of small-HDL subclasses (HDL-3a [p = 0.004] and HDL-3b [p = 0.031]), and lower levels of LDL subclasses (LDL-IVa [p = 0.012] and LDL-IIIb [p = 0.009]). The only significant genotype–diabetes interaction occurred with the HDL-2a subclass (p = 0.015). No statistically significant associations were seen with I405V genotype. Our observations of lower levels of small-HDL and higher levels of large-HDL suggest that a potentially important HDL subclass– CETP relationship exists.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.