Cross correlations of seismic noise can potentially record large changes in subsurface velocity due to permafrost dynamics and be valuable for long‐term Arctic monitoring. We applied seismic interferometry, using moving window cross‐spectral analysis (MWCS), to 2 years of ambient noise data recorded in central Alaska to investigate whether seismic noise could be used to quantify relative velocity changes due to seasonal active‐layer dynamics. The large velocity changes (>75%) between frozen and thawed soil caused prevalent cycle‐skipping which made the method unusable in this setting. We developed an improved MWCS procedure which uses a moving reference to measure daily velocity variations that are then accumulated to recover the full seasonal change. This approach reduced cycle‐skipping and recovered a seasonal trend that corresponded well with the timing of active‐layer freeze and thaw. This improvement opens the possibility of measuring large velocity changes by using MWCS and permafrost monitoring by using ambient noise.
Sedimentary basins can trap earthquake surface waves and amplify the magnitude and lengthen the duration of seismic shaking at the surface. Poor existing gravity and well-data coverage of the basins below the rapidly growing Reno and Carson City urban areas of western Nevada prompted us to collect 200 new gravity measurements. By classifying all new and existing gravity locations as on seismic bedrock or in a basin, we separate the basins' gravity signature from variable background bedrock gravity fields. We find an unexpected 1.2-km maximum depth trough below the western side of Reno; basin enhancement of the seismic shaking hazard would be greatest in this area. Depths throughout most of the rest of the Truckee Meadows basin below Reno are less than 0.5 km. The Eagle Valley basin below Carson City has a 0.53-km maximum depth. Basin depth estimates in Reno are consistent with depths to bedrock in the few available records of geothermal wells and in one wildcat oil well. Depths in Carson City are consistent with depths from existing seismic reflection soundings. The well and seismic correlations allow us to refine our assumed density contrasts. The basin to bedrock density contrast in Reno and Carson City may be as low as −0.33 g/cm 3. The log of the oil well, on the deepest Reno subbasin, indicates that Quaternary deposits are not unusually thick there and suggests that the subbasin formed entirely before the middle Pliocene. Thickness of Quaternary fill, also of importance for determining seismic hazard below Reno and Carson City may only rarely exceed 200 m. * Numbers beginning 277 are the order in the Moana Hot Springs listing in Garside and Schilling (1979), pp. 134-138. Other numbers are the final five digits of the American Petroleum Institute (API) well number (which would be preceded by 27-031); Nevada State Department of Mineral Resources permit numbers, starting with NV; and Nevada State Department of Water Resources permit numbers, starting with DWR. * * May be the active Sierra Pacific Power Co. municipal water supply well at Harvard Way and Marker Street, Reno. † NBMG = Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology. † † Authors' reinterpretation of driller's log puts the top of the Hunter Creek Sandstone at 168-m depth.
Widespread permafrost thaw in response to changing climate conditions has the potential to dramatically impact ecosystems, infrastructure, and the global carbon budget. Ambient seismic noise techniques allow passive subsurface monitoring that could provide new insights into permafrost vulnerability and active-layer processes. Using nearly 2 years of continuous seismic data recorded near Fairbanks, Alaska, we measured relative velocity variations that showed a clear seasonal cycle reflecting active-layer freeze and thaw. Relative to January 2014, velocities increased up to 3% through late spring, decreased to −8% by late August, and then gradually returned to the initial values by the following winter. Velocities responded rapidly (over~2 to 7 days) to discrete hydrologic events and temperature forcing and indicated that spring snowmelt and infiltration events from summer rainfall were particularly influential in propagating thaw across the site. Velocity increases during the fall zero-curtain captured the refreezing process and incremental ice formation. Looking across multiple frequency bands (3-30 Hz), negative relative velocities began at higher frequencies earlier in the summer and then shifted lower when active-layer thaw deepened, suggesting a potential relationship between frequency and thaw depth; however, this response was dependent on interstation distance. Bayesian tomography returned 2-D time-lapse images identifying zones of greatest velocity reduction concentrated in the western side of the array, providing insight into the spatial variability of thaw progression, soil moisture, and drainage. This study demonstrates the potential of passive seismic monitoring as a new tool for studying site-scale active-layer and permafrost thaw processes at high temporal and spatial resolution.Plain Language Summary Seismic vibrations in the ground generated by background sources of noise (vehicle traffic, wind, ocean waves, etc.) occur continuously and provide a way to monitor environmental changes with time. We used 2 years of noise data to study belowground changes in Alaska, where the upper layer of soil freezes and thaws seasonally and deeper soil (permafrost) remains frozen year-round. Warming temperatures may alter the depth of thaw each summer and degrade permafrost, which could significantly impact ecosystems and infrastructure. Our results show a clear seasonal pattern corresponding with the timing of soil freeze/thaw. Vibrations traveled at the fastest speeds during early spring, indicating frozen soil with ice. Speeds became slower following snowmelt and warmer temperatures in late spring and early summer. Strong decreases in seismic-wave speeds corresponded with heavy rains and warm temperatures, suggesting warm water percolating downward through the soil induced more thaw. Speeds gradually increased again through the fall during ice formation. We also mapped where soil changes occurred most strongly and thereby revealed spatial differences in thaw depth and soil moisture across the site. This work dem...
A series of chemical explosions, called the Source Physics Experiments (SPE, see Table ), is being conducted under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) to develop a new, more physics‐based paradigm for nuclear test monitoring. Improvements in technical capabilities resulting from such development have the potential to help the United States keep better tabs on underground nuclear tests being conducted worldwide and to enhance treaty monitoring.
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