Maintaining connectivity for broad-scale ecological processes like dispersal and gene flow is essential for conserving endangered species in fragmented landscapes. However, determining which habitats should be set aside to promote connectivity has been difficult because existing models cannot incorporate effects of multiple pathways linking populations. Here, we test an ecological connectivity model that overcomes this obstacle by borrowing from electrical circuit theory. The model vastly improves gene flow predictions because it simultaneously integrates all possible pathways connecting populations. When applied to data from threatened mammal and tree species, the model consistently outperformed conventional gene flow models, revealing that barriers were less important in structuring populations than previously thought. Circuit theory now provides the best-justified method to bridge landscape and genetic data, and holds much promise in ecology, evolution, and conservation planning.Gulo gulo ͉ isolation by resistance ͉ landscape connectivity ͉ Swietenia macrophylla ͉ landscape genetics P reserving and restoring connectivity for broad-scale ecological processes, such as dispersal and gene flow, has become a major conservation priority (1, 2). Conservation organizations are investing considerable resources-and asking governments to do the same-to set aside land to promote connectivity (3). A major impediment to this goal is the difficulty in predicting how different land use, climate change, or reserve design scenarios will affect connectivity, and conservation planning decisions are often made without quantifying benefits for the ecological processes they are meant to conserve. If scarce conservation dollars are to be spent effectively, conservation biologists need clear, efficient, and reliable tools relating landscape composition and pattern to important ecological processes (4).Gene flow is a critical ecological process with conservation benefits ranging from promoting the persistence of small populations to spreading adaptive traits in changing environments (5-8). Because of these important ecological and evolutionary roles, a new and rapidly growing field-landscape genetics-is primarily dedicated to understanding and predicting how landscape characteristics affect gene flow (5). By combining genetic, computational, and spatial analytic tools unavailable a decade ago, the interdisciplinary field has yielded insights relevant not only to conservation (e.g., refs. 8 and 9), but to fields such as evolution (10), infectious disease ecology (11), and population ecology (12).Yet progress in all of these fields has been hampered by a lack of models capable of predicting gene flow from landscape structure. As a result, typical landscape genetic analyses simply detect genetic discontinuities and propose ad hoc explanations based on coincident landscape features, rather than testing a priori predictions of how such features are expected to influence genetic structure. This hinders hypothesis testing and leaves conserva...
Models are commonly used to identify lands that will best maintain the ability of wildlife to move between wildland blocks through matrix lands after the remaining matrix has become incompatible with wildlife movement. We offer a roadmap of 16 choices and assumptions that arise in designing linkages to facilitate movement or gene flow of focal species between 2 or more predefined wildland blocks. We recommend designing linkages to serve multiple (rather than one) focal species likely to serve as a collective umbrella for all native species and ecological processes, explicitly acknowledging untested assumptions, and using uncertainty analysis to illustrate potential effects of model uncertainty. Such uncertainty is best displayed to stakeholders as maps of modeled linkages under different assumptions. We also recommend modeling corridor dwellers (species that require more than one generation to move their genes between wildland blocks) differently from passage species (for which an individual can move between wildland blocks within a few weeks). We identify a problem, which we call the subjective translation problem, that arises because the analyst must subjectively decide how to translate measurements of resource selection into resistance. This problem can be overcome by estimating resistance from observations of animal movement, genetic distances, or interpatch movements. There is room for substantial improvement in the procedures used to design linkages robust to climate change and in tools that allow stakeholders to compare an optimal linkage design to alternative designs that minimize costs or achieve other conservation goals.
Models of individual movement can help conserve wide-ranging carnivores on increasingly human-altered landscapes, and cannot be constructed solely by analyzing the daytime resting locations typically collected in carnivore studies. We examined the movements of 10 female and 7 male cougars (Puma concolor) at 15-min intervals during 44 nocturnal or diel periods of hunting or traveling in the Santa Ana Mountain Range of southern California, USA, between 1988 and 1992. Cougars tended to move in a meandering path (mean turning angle ∼54°), and distance moved (mean and mode ∼300 m) was not correlated with turning angle. Cougars used a broader range of habitats for nocturnal or diel movements than for previously described daybed locations for this same population. Riparian vegetation ranked highest in a compositional analysis of vegetation types selected during movement; grassland, woodland and urbanized sites were least selected. During periods of stasis (we presume many of these were stalking locations), patterns of selection were less marked. Cougars spent a disproportionate amount of time in highly ranked vegetation types, and traveled slowest through riparian habitats and fastest through human-dominated areas. Our results suggest that travel speed may provide an efficient index of habitat selection in concert with other types of analysis. Hunting or traveling individuals consistently used travel paths that were less rugged than their general surroundings. Traveling cougars avoided 2-lane paved roads, but dirt roads may have facilitated movement. Maintenance and restoration of corridors between large wildlands is essential to conserving cougars in southern California. Our results indicate that riparian vegetation, and other vegetation types that provide horizontal cover, are desirable features in such corridors, that dirt roads should not impede cougar use of corridors, and that corridors should lie along routes with relatively gentle topography. Our results suggest that cougars do not key in on highway-crossing structures in a way that creates a prey trap. Our empirical frequency distributions of distances and turning angles, along with cougar responses to vegetation, topography, and roads can help parameterize an individually-based movement model for cougars in human-altered landscapes. JOURNAL OF WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT 69(1):264-276; 2005
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