The evolution of kidney allograft survival remains insufficiently studied in the context of the changing donor and recipient demographics. Since European data are lacking we performed a cohort study (1986-2015) that, based on the Collaborative Transplant Study, included 108 787 recipients of brain-death kidney donors in 135 hospitals across 21 European countries. We analyzed the hazard rate of kidney failure after transplantation. Between 1986 and 1999, improvement in graft survival was more pronounced in the short term than in the long term: one-, five- and ten-year hazard rates after transplantation declined 64% (95% confidence interval, 61%-66%), 53% (49%-57%) and 45% (39%-50%), respectively. Between 2000 and 2015, hazard rates at one, five and ten years post-transplant declined respectively 22% (12-30%), 47% (36-56%) and 64% (45-76%). Improvement in graft survival in the first five years post-transplant was significantly less since 2000, while improvement after five years was comparable to before. During the 2000-2015 period improvement of graft survival was greater in the long than in the short term. These changes were independent of changing donor and recipient characteristics, and reflect the evolution in global kidney transplant management over the past decades. Unfortunately, after accounting for the evolution of donor and recipient characteristics, we found that short-term improvement in graft survival decreased since 2000, while long-term improvement remained unchanged in Europe. Thus, deceleration of short-term graft survival improvement in more recent years illustrates an unmet need for innovation.
Minnie Sarwal and colleagues developed a gene expression assay using peripheral blood samples to detect patients with renal transplant at high risk for acute rejection.
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Kidney transplant recipients might be at higher risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19). However, risk factors for relevant outcomes remain uncertain in this population. This is a multicentric kidney transplant cohort including 104 hospitalized patients between March 4 and April 17, 2020. Risk factors for death and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) were investigated, and clinical and laboratory data were analyzed. The mean age was 60 years. Forty‐seven patients (54.8%) developed ARDS. Obesity was associated to ARDS development (OR 2.63; P = .04). Significant age differences were not found among patients developing and not developing ARDS (61.3 vs 57.8 years, P = .16). Seventy‐six (73%) patients were discharged, and 28 (27%) died. Death was more common among the elderly (55 and 70.8 years, P < .001) and those with preexisting pulmonary disease (OR 2.89, P = .009). At admission, higher baseline lactate dehydrogenase (257 vs 358 IU/mL, P = .001) or ARDS conferred higher risk of death (HR 2.09, P = .044). In our cohort, ARDS was equally present among young and old kidney recipients. However, the elderly might be at higher risk of death, along with those showing higher baseline LDH at admission.
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