Aims/hypothesis: We have previously observed an inverse correlation between the incidence of type 1 diabetes and enterovirus infections in the background population. The aim of this study was to analyse whether maternal enterovirus antibody status, which reflects both the frequency of enterovirus infections and the protection conferred by the mother on the offspring, also correlates with the incidence of type 1 diabetes. Methods: Maternal enterovirus antibodies were analysed from serum samples taken from pregnant women between 1983 and 2001 in Finland and Sweden using enzyme immunoassay and neutralisation assays. Comparable samples were also taken between 1999 and 2001 in countries with a lower incidence of diabetes (Estonia, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Lithuania, Russia). Results: A clear decrease was observed in maternal enterovirus antibody levels over the past 20 years (p<0.0001). The frequency of enterovirus antibodies was higher in countries with a low or intermediate incidence of type 1 diabetes compared with high-incidence countries (p<0.0001). Conclusions/interpretation: These findings are in line with our previous observations supporting the hypothesis that a low frequency of enterovirus infection in the background population increases the susceptibility of young children to the diabetogenic effect of enteroviruses.

OBJECTIVE: Environmental factors have been suggested to play an important role in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes. The aim of this study was to assess the influence of breast-feeding, vaccinations, and childhood viral diseases on the initiation of islet autoimmunity in early childhood. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data were prospectively collected from questionnaires obtained at birth, at 9 months of age, and at 2 years of age in 823 offspring from parents with type 1 diabetes. By 2 years of age, 31 offspring had islet antibodies, and 10 developed overt diabetes by the time of follow-up. RESULTS: In offspring from mothers with type 1 diabetes, duration of exclusive and total breast-feeding did not differ between islet antibody-positive and -negative children, regardless of HLA genotype, and breast-feeding of 3 months or longer was not associated with protection from antibody development or diabetes onset. In offspring from diabetic fathers, non-statistically significant reductions in exclusive and total breast-feeding times were observed in the antibody-positive cohort. Neither type nor quantity of vaccinations (including Bacille Calmette-Guerin vaccine; haemophilus influenzae vaccine; diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis vaccine; tick-born encephalitis vaccine; or measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine) were associated with the development of islet antibodies and diabetes. Measles, mumps, and rubella were not reported in children with islet antibodies or diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed no evidence that proposed environmental factors affect islet antibody development in the first 2 years of life in offspring from parents with type 1 diabetes.

The incidence of type 1 diabetes varies markedly between countries. As enterovirus infections have been linked to type 1 diabetes, we determined whether this variation correlates with the frequency of enterovirus infections in different Caucasian populations in Europe. Enterovirus antibodies were examined in the background population (1-year-old and 10-14-year-old children) in seven countries with either exceptionally high (Finland and Sweden) or low/intermediate incidence of diabetes (Estonia, Germany, Hungary, Lithuania, Russia) using EIA and neutralisation assays. Enterovirus antibodies were less frequent in countries with high diabetes incidence compared to countries with low diabetes incidence (P<0.001). This suggests that enterovirus infections are not particularly common in countries with high diabetes incidence. In contrast, there seems to be an inverse correlation between the incidence of type 1 diabetes and enterovirus infections in the background population, which is in line with the previously proposed polio hypothesis according to which the complications of enterovirus infections become more common in an environment with a decreased rate of infections.

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Women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) have a considerable risk of developing diabetes later in life. To determine the predictive value of autoantibody markers in gestational diabetic pregnancy for the development of type 1 diabetes postpartum, we tested 437 patients with GDM (289 women treated with diet only [GDM-A] and 148 requiring insulin treatment during pregnancy [GDM-B]) for antibodies to islet cells (ICAs), GAD (GADAs), and tyrosine phosphatase ICA512/IA-2 (IA2As). We prospectively followed them with repeated oral glucose tolerance tests and antibody determinations for up to 7 years postpartum (mean, 1.6 years; range, 0-7.2 years). The cumulative risk of diabetes up to 5 years postpartum was 17% (95% CI 12-22%). The risk of type 1 diabetes was 3% (2-5%) by 9 months and 7% (4-9%) 2 years after delivery. At delivery, 8.5% of all patients were ICA+, 9.5% were GADA+, 6.2% were IA2A+, and 18.1% were positive for at least one antibody (12.6% for GDM-A vs. 30.4% for GDM-B, P < 0.0001). During follow-up, GADAs persisted in 75%, ICAs in 35%, and IA2As in 30% of the subjects positive for the respective marker at delivery. By 2 years postpartum, 29% (19-39%) of patients positive for at least one antibody developed type 1 diabetes, compared with 2% (1-4%) of antibody-negative patients (P < 0.0001). Thereby, the risk for type 1 diabetes 2 years postpartum increased with the number of antibodies present at delivery from 17% (6-28%) for one antibody, to 61% (30-91%) for two antibodies, and to 84% (55-100%) for 3 antibodies. Risk of progression to type 1 diabetes postpartum was also associated with the status of parity. Women with one or more pregnancies before the index pregnancy had a higher risk for type 1 diabetes 2 years after delivery (14.7% [4.9.-24.5%]) than women having their first (i.e., index) pregnancy (5% [2.9-7.1%]) (P < 0.006). A comparison of different prediction strategies showed that single antibody screening with GADA yielded the highest sensitivity of 63% (45-75%), compared with ICA (48% [31-65%]) and IA2A (34% [13-47%]). Combined screening with two autoantibodies increased sensitivity to 74% (58-90%) and 75% (60-92%) when using GADA plus ICA or GADA plus IA2A, respectively. Screening with all three markers improved sensitivity further to 82% (67-100%). Beta-cell autoantibodies determined at delivery in women with GDM are highly predictive for the development of type 1 diabetes postpartum. Autoantibody screening in pregnant women with GDM from populations at high risk for type 1 diabetes should therefore be considered to allow early diagnosis and appropriate therapy.