Background and Objective Finerenone reduces the risk of kidney failure in patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes. Changes in the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are surrogates for kidney failure. We performed dose–exposure–response analyses to determine the effects of finerenone on these surrogates in the presence and absence of sodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) using individual patient data from the FIDELIO-DKD study. Methods Non-linear mixed-effects population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models were used to quantify disease progression in terms of UACR and eGFR during standard of care and pharmacodynamic effects of finerenone in the presence and absence of SGLT2i use. Results The population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic models adequately described effects of finerenone exposure in reducing UACR and slowing eGFR decline over time. The reduction in UACR achieved with finerenone during the first year predicted its subsequent effect in slowing progressive eGFR decline. SGLT2i use did not modify the effects of finerenone. The population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model demonstrated with 97.5% confidence that finerenone was at least 94.1% as efficacious in reducing UACR in patients using an SGLT2i compared with patients not using an SGLT2i based on the 95% confidence interval of the SGLT2i-finerenone interaction from 94.1 to 122%. The 95% confidence interval of the SGLT2i-finerenone interaction for the UACR-mediated effect on chronic eGFR decline was 9.5–144%. Conclusions We developed a model that accurately describes the finerenone dose–exposure–response relationship for UACR and eGFR. The model demonstrated that the early UACR effect of finerenone predicted its long-term effect on eGFR decline. These effects were independent of concomitant SGLT2i use. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40262-022-01124-3.

Early prediction, quantification and translation of cardiovascular hemodynamic drug effects is essential in pre-clinical drug development. In this study, a novel hemodynamic cardiovascular systems (CVS) model was developed to support these goals. The model consisted of distinct system- and drug-specific parameter, and uses data for heart rate (HR), cardiac output (CO), and mean atrial pressure (MAP) to infer drug mode-of-action (MoA). To support further application of this model in drug development, we conducted a systematic analysis of the estimation performance of the CVS model to infer drug- and system-specific parameters. Specifically, we focused on the impact on model estimation performance when considering differences in available readouts and the impact of study design choices. To this end, a practical identifiability analysis was performed, evaluating model estimation performance for different combinations of hemodynamic endpoints, drug effect sizes, and study design characteristics. The practical identifiability analysis showed that MoA of drug effect could be identified for different drug effect magnitudes and both system- and drug-specific parameters can be estimated precisely with minimal bias. Study designs which exclude measurement of CO or use a reduced measurement duration still allow the identification and quantification of MoA with acceptable performance. In conclusion, the CVS model can be used to support the design and inference of MoA in pre-clinical CVS experiments, with a future potential for applying the uniquely identifiable systems parameters to support inter-species scaling.

Belantamab mafodotin, a monomethyl auristatin F (MMAF)–containing monoclonal antibody‐drug conjugate (ADC), demonstrated deep and durable responses in the DRiving Excellence in Approaches to Multiple Myeloma (DREAMM)‐1 and pivotal DREAMM‐2 studies in patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma. As with other MMAF‐containing ADCs, ocular adverse events were observed. To predict the effects of belantamab mafodotin dosing regimens and dose‐modification strategies on efficacy and ocular safety end points, DREAMM‐1 and DREAMM‐2 data across a range of doses were used to develop an integrated simulation framework incorporating two separate longitudinal models and the published population pharmacokinetic model. A concentration‐driven tumor growth inhibition model described the time course of serum M‐protein concentration, a measure of treatment response, whereas a discrete time Markov model described the time course of ocular events graded with the GSK Keratopathy and Visual Acuity scale. Significant covariates included baseline β2‐microglobulin on growth rate, baseline M‐protein on kill rate, extramedullary disease on the effect compartment rate constant, and baseline soluble B cell maturation antigen on maximal effect. Efficacy and safety end points were simulated for various doses with dosing intervals of 1, 3, 6, and 9 weeks and various event‐driven dose‐modification strategies. Simulations predicted that lower doses and longer dosing intervals were associated with lower probability and lower overall time with Grade 3+ and Grade 2+ ocular events compared with the reference regimen (2.5 mg/kg every 3 weeks), with a less‐than‐proportional reduction in efficacy. The predicted improved benefit–risk profiles of certain dosing schedules and dose modifications from this integrated framework has informed trial designs for belantamab mafodotin, supporting dose‐optimization strategies.