After 20 years follow-up of newly diagnosed patients with Parkinson's disease (PD), 100 of 136 (74%) have died. The mortality rate fell in the first 3 years of treatment, then rose compared to the general population, the standardized mortality ratio from 15 to 20 years reaching 3.1. Drug induced dyskinesia and end of dose failure were experienced by most patients, but the main current problems relate to the non-levodopa responsive features of the disease. Dementia is present in 83% of 20-year survivors. Dementia correlates with increasing age and probably reflects an interplay of multiple pathologies. Seventeen people with dementia had postmortems. Eight had diffuse Lewy bodies as the only cause of dementia, while others had mixed neuropathology. Only one person lives independently and 48% are in nursing homes. Excessive daytime sleepiness is noted in 70%, falls have occurred in 87%, freezing in 81%, fractures in 35%, symptomatic postural hypotension in 48%, urinary incontinence in 71%, moderate dysarthria in 81%, choking in 48%, and hallucinations in 74%. The challenge is to understand the cellular mechanisms underlying the diverse features of advanced PD that go far beyond a lack of dopamine.2008 Movement Disorder Society

One-third of the 149 people recruited 15 to 18 years ago in the Sydney Multicenter Study of Parkinson's disease have survived. The original study compared low-dose levodopa with low-dose bromocriptine. We now report the problems experienced by people who survive 15 years from diagnosis. The standardized mortality ratio is significantly elevated at 1.86 and is not significantly different between treatment arms. Falls occur in 81% of patients, and 23% sustained fractures. Cognitive decline is present in 84%, and 48% fulfill the criteria for dementia. Hallucinations and depression are experienced by 50%. Choking has occurred in 50%, symptomatic postural hypotension in 35%, and urinary incontinence in 41%. No patient is still employed, and 40% of patients live in aged care facilities. Although approximately 95% have experienced L-dopa-induced dyskinesia/dystonia and end of dose failure of medication, in the majority, these symptoms are not disabling. Dyskinesia and dystonia were delayed by early use of bromocriptine, but end-of-dose failure appeared at a similar time once L-dopa was added. The rate of disease progression is similar in both arms of the study. We conclude that the most disabling long-term problems of Parkinson's disease relate to the emergence of symptoms that are not improved by L-dopa. Neuroprotective interventions in Parkinson's disease should be judged by their ability to improve non-L-dopa-responsive aspects of the disease, rather than just by their capacity to delay the introduction of L-dopa or reduce its associated side effects.

The present study describes the pathological progression of longitudinally followed cases with levodopa-responsive Parkinson's disease who came to autopsy during the Sydney Multicenter Study of Parkinson's disease. Standardised clinical and neuropathological assessments over five epochs of time verified three different clinicopathological groups. A group of younger onset patients with a typical long duration clinical course of Parkinson's disease. This group of cases had Lewy body distributions consistent with the Braak staging of disease. In this group, brainstem Lewy bodies dominate in those surviving to 5 years; by 13 years, 50% of cases have a limbic distribution of Lewy bodies; and by 18 years, all will have at least this pathological phenotype. Approximately 25% of cases had an early malignant, dementia-dominant syndrome and severe neocortical disease consistent with dementia with Lewy bodies. The last group had an older onset, shorter survival, and a more complex disease course with higher Lewy body loads and a higher proportion with additional neuropathologies. These cases with higher loads of Lewy bodies and shorter survivals suggest that widespread Lewy body pathology either occurs at the onset of clinical disease or rapidly infiltrates the brain. In these cases with shorter survivals, there was more plaque pathology, supporting a more aggressive and linked phenotype. Our data suggest that the selection of similar study cohorts by pathology alone would not be able to differentiate the three different phenotypes identified. The data are also not consistent with a unitary concept of the pathogenesis of Lewy body disease.

Objectives-To report on a 10 year follow up of patients with idiopathic Parkinson's disease, particularly with respect to mortality and the eVect of early treatment with bromocriptine. Methods-The patients are from the 149 new patients recruited for a double blind, randomised study of low dose levodopacarbidopa versus low dose bromocriptine. Patients were examined neurologically at least yearly. Neuropsychological examinations were performed at 0, 3, 5, and 10 years. Mortality and cause of death in these patients were compared with the Australian population using standardised mortality ratios (SMRs). Mortality and disease progression were compared by sex and treatment group. Predictors of death within 10 years, nursing home admission, and progression in Columbia score of >20 points were examined by logistic regression analysis. Results-Thirteen patients were excluded as having atypical Parkinsonism and six were lost to follow up. All available patients have been followed up for 10 years. Fifty patients (38%) were dead by 10 years and 63 by the last follow up. The SMR was 1.58 for all patients (p<0.001). There was no significant diVerence in SMRs between the sexes. The mean duration of disease until death was 9.1 years. Parkinson's disease was thought to have contributed substantially to the death of 30 patients. The most common cause of death was pneumonia. Women progressed at a similar rate to men until 8 years, when the severity of their disease as measured by Hoehn and Yahr stage became greater (p<0.05). Older age of onset correlated with increased risk of death but the SMR was increased even in those aged <70 years (SMR 1.80, p=0.03). Early use of bromocriptine did not reduce mortality or slow progression of disease. One quarter of all patients had been admitted to nursing homes by 10 years. Only four patients were still employed. Conclusions-Mortality in Parkinson's disease remains increased despite low dose levodopa-carbidopa therapy and no additional benefit was gained from early use of bromocriptine. Duration of disease was similar to that in the era before levodopa. (J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 1999;67:300-307)